
Noel’s Weekend Winners: Profitable Plays on the Preakness Undercard
The 150th Preakness Stakes may not have the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve winner, but it has the next best thing. Journalism, the runner-up in the Derby, heads the field of nine 3-year-olds and gives it some much-needed star power. While Journalism looms a strong favorite, the rest of the field seems evenly matched which could create some nice exotic payoffs.
1. Goal Oriented (6-1 morning-line odds): Undefeated colt gets a major class test while making his stakes debut in a Triple Crown race. He’s trained by Bob Baffert, who has won the Preakness a record eight times and is an expert at winning off of two weeks of rest. His connections alone make him a contender.
JOCKEY: Flavien Prat; TRAINER: Bob Baffert
2. Journalism (8-5): A deserving favorite after running a solid second in the Kentucky Derby as the favorite. Should work out a nice trip from this post and looms the one to beat.
JOCKEY: Umberto Rispoli; TRAINER: Michael McCarthy
3. American Promise (15-1): Chased a fast pace in the Kentucky Derby and tired badly. Should get a softer pace here but hard to see him rebounding with a big effort just two weeks later. It’s mind-boggling to think that 89-year-old trainer D. Wayne Lukas is taking aim at back-to-back Preakness wins.
JOCKEY: Nik Juarez; TRAINER: D. Wayne Lukas
4. Heart of Honor (12-1): A rare European-bred starter in the Preakness, he was beaten by a nose in the United Arab Emirates Derby Sponsored by Jumeirah, which was won by Admire Daytona who finished last in the Kentucky Derby. That measuring stick isn’t very flattering.
JOCKEY: Saffie Osborne; TRAINER: Jamie Osborne
5. Pay Billy (20-1): Consistent Maryland runner won the two preps at Laurel Park for the Preakness. Has a good running style for the race but he’s yet to race on this track and will need to take a step forward to be a major factor.
JOCKEY: Raul Mena; TRAINER: Michael Gorham
6. River Thames (9-2): Was only beaten by a neck by Kentucky Derby winner Sovereignty in the Coolmore Fountain of Youth Stakes and then finished a close third in the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes. Can sit just off the early pace and looks like the main rival.
JOCKEY: Irad Ortiz Jr.; TRAINER: Todd Pletcher
7. Sandman (4-1): Did not pose a threat in the Kentucky Derby when he rallied from 18th to finish seventh on a sloppy track. Won the Grade 1 Arkansas Derby before that, so was it the wet track that derailed him in the run for the roses? We’ll see. His late-running style usually does not work well at the Preakness.
JOCKEY: John Velazquez; TRAINER: Mark Casse
8. Clever Again (5-1): Should be on the lead or battling for it after a front-running win in the Hot Springs Stakes. Hasn’t raced beyond 1 1/16 miles so the distance might be a tad long for him.
JOCKEY: Jose Ortiz; TRAINER: Steve Asmussen
9. Gosger (20-1): Seems a notch below the top threats and is not helped by the outside post. Needs to step up here but the morning-line price is intriguing.
JOCKEY: Luis Saez; TRAINER: Brendan Walsh
THE PICK: Journalism
LIVE LONGSHOT: Goal Oriented
SUPERFECTA: 2-6-1-8