The 2026 Breeders’ Cup is upon us! The world’s best horses (and horsepeople) have descended upon Keeneland for the two-day racing extravaganza, one that provides plenty of betting opportunities.

With so many talented horses entered in the World Championships, there are bound to be some winning longshots. We’ll offer four of them across the 14-race slate, with all of them listed at 12-1 or higher on the morning line. Let’s take a look!

FRIDAY

Race 6, $1 million Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint, 5 ½ furlongs, turf, 2:55 p.m. ET

Moonrise after July win at Ascot (Eclipse Sportswire)

#1 Moonrise (12-1 morning-line odds): We’ll jump right in with not just the first race of the event, but the very first horse in the program. I think the Juvenile Turf Sprint has a few attractive wagering propositions, and this Irish-bred filly is my top pick.

Moonrise is 3-for-5 to this point in her career, and the Andrew Balding trainee attracts jockey Oisin Murphy for this one. Murphy is 3-for-3 aboard this daughter of Churchill, and at his best, he’s one of the top four or five riders on the planet (and he might not be fifth, fourth, third, or second). She was a close-up fourth last time out in a Group 1 race at Newmarket going six furlongs after showing some tactical speed, and I think the cutback to 5 1/2 furlongs will suit her well.

My one hesitation is that her best races have come on the synthetic track at Kempton Park, not turf. However, she did prevail in a Group 3 race on the grass at Ascot in July and was second of 25 in the Windsor Castle Stakes during the Royal Ascot meet. I think this is a very talented filly, and the morning-line odds hit me as juicy.

Race 10, $1 million Brown Advisory Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf, one mile, turf, 5:35 p.m. ET

Liam's Law in the morning at Keeneland (Eclipse Sportswire)

#8 Liam’s Law (20-1 ML): For full disclosure, my top pick is #4 Haffner, but I do think he’ll get bet down from his 8-1 morning-line price. I’ll also be using Liam’s Law, who may benefit from the probable race shape and could still be improving for Hall of Fame trainer Todd Pletcher.

There doesn’t seem to be a ton of true early speed signed on here. Liam’s Law, however, wants to be forwardly placed. He’s never been headed in two turf starts, including a score in the Grade 3 With Anticipation Stakes at Saratoga. Granted, that was against a very short field, but at a minimum, we know he has early speed and can carry that speed this 1 1/16-mile distance.

Jose Ortiz sees fit to ride, which is certainly a plus, and he’s improved on speed figures in each of his three starts to date. He may need to step forward again, but he’ll have every opportunity to do that if his running style is as effective as the anticipated race shape says it will be.

SATURDAY

Race 6, $1 million Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile, one mile, dirt, 2:26 p.m. ET

Forged Steel wins Goodwood Stakes (Eclipse Sportswire)

#9 Forged Steel (15-1 ML): It’s entirely possible #1 Further Ado makes me look silly. He’s run the best races of his career at Keeneland and draws well, but I’m just not sold on the quality of this year’s 3-year-old male division. He runs against older horses for the first time here, and while his speed figures make him one of the top contenders, he doesn’t tower over this group.

I’ll take a shot with Forged Steel, who has plenty of tactical speed and exits a score in the Grade 1 Goodwood Stakes at Santa Anita. He’s a bit streaky, and his clunkers are eyesores in the form, but his best is very, very good. Remember, he ran away with the Grade 2 Hollywood Gold Cup earlier this year, too, so it’s not like the impressive last-out performance was a fluke.

Forged Steel does have to contend with an outside post and a short run into the first turn. However, he’s got enough early speed to clear most of the horses inside of him, and I think that tactical speed could carry him into a decent spot. His morning-line price hits me as an overlay, and in a race where it sure feels like you’re supposed to take a shot against the chalk, I’ll be happy to take it if it holds up.

Race 11, $5 million Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf, 1 ½ miles, turf, 5:36 p.m. ET

#14 Deep Monster (30-1 ML): We’ll finish things off by getting a bit crazy in the Turf. Europe has sent over quite a few contenders, including #2 Benvenuto Cellini, who’s my top pick (I think he’ll benefit from getting back to a firm turf course after a few runs on yielding ground). However, don’t sleep on a runner coming from Asia.

Deep Monster has only run three times this year, but he’s knocked heads with some very tough customers. He beat Goliath and Giavellotto in Qatar in February, then shipped to Hong Kong and took on Romantic Warrior at that one’s home track. He ran very well that day to be third beaten just two lengths and then went to the sidelines. His comeback effort at Kyoto in Japan wasn’t great, but it was also his first race in 4 ½ months, and it wasn’t the goal.

By contrast, this race was the goal, and I think we’ll see a much sharper horse on Saturday afternoon at Keeneland. If he’s the runner we saw in early-2026, he may be good enough to overcome the outside post and factor in the penultimate race of the card at a big, big price.