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Of all the visitors to Churchill Downs on May 2 for the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve, the one who could have the biggest impact on the day is Mother Nature.

Rain and a wet track can be a godsend to some starters and a curse to others, and these days it is becoming harder to compile evidence on who are the mudders in the field of 20.

Every Sunday Noel Michaels will provide free full-card picks for a one racecard in North America. A veteran handicapper and tournament-play pioneer, Michaels also writes a weekly “Weekend Winners” blog for America’s Best Racing with a focus on key stakes races at marquee tracks. This feature will be straight-forward: full-card picks for one Sunday slate of races of his choosing.

The Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve is the ideal race to form a bold opinion, to take a stand and go against the grain. That’s a key part of the fun in betting the world’s biggest horse race. Plus, taking a contrarian view when betting a race with 20 contenders, plus myriad variables that can lead to an unexpected outcome, can mean massive returns.

Saturday’s Royal Heroine Stakes at Santa Anita Park, for older fillies and mares going a mile on the turf at Santa Anita, drew a balanced and competitive field of nine. Trainer Phil D’Amato, who has won this race four out of the last five years, has two entries with Innovative and Ripassare.

Welcome to Noel Michaels’ Weekend Winners, the place to go for weekend best bets and spot plays from veteran handicapper and tournament-play pioneer Noel Michaels. Check back every week for a couple of highlighted selections designed to help you cash a few bets and make some money.

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