Dan’s Double: Closing Out Saturday Card at Belmont

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Turf racing at Belmont Park during the 2020 fall meet. (Eclipse Sportswire)

Dan’s Double of the Week, featuring handicapping analysis from America's Best Racing's New York correspondent Dan Tordjman, is brought to you by Horseplayers.com, the official online qualifying site of the Breeders' Cup Betting Challenge (BCBC) and National Horseplayers Championship (NHC). Horseplayers.com offers low-cost feeders every day and BCBC and NHC qualifiers every weekend, and it’s the only site where you can qualify for the $1 million BCBC. It’s free to sign up – click here to get information about registering and how to enter contests.

When it comes to making money when handicapping races and betting on horse racing, it’s all about picking winners. Tordjman – @DanonymousMan to those who follow him on Twitter – is one of the sharpest horseplayers around.

Each Week, Tordjman will provide readers with his two best bets of the weekend and strategies for how to bet them. Good luck! 


Saturday, Oct. 10

Belmont Park, Race 10, $150,000 Sands Point Stakes, 5:20 p.m. ET

weekend TV schedule

Friday, Oct. 9: 12:30-1 and 3-6 p.m. ET on FS2; post time varies on TVG

Saturday, Oct. 10: 12:30 p.m.-3 p.m. ET on FS1; 4-6 p.m.. ET on FS2; post time varies on TVG

Sunday, Oct. 11: 12:30-1 p.m. and 3-4 p.m. ET on FS2; 1-3 p.m. and 4-6 p.m. ET on FS1; post time varies on TVG

Monday, Oct. 12: 12:30-5:30 p.m. ET on FS2; post time varies on TVG

#2 Speaktomeofsummer: This is a really competitive field and I’m projecting that we’ll get fair value on this filly who won the Grade 2 Lake Placid Stakes two races ago. I do like the fact that she can sit just off the pace and make a late move – especially with the strong-finishing Joel Rosario aboard – in a race where there might just be a decent amount of early speed. Miss J McKay, a sentimental favorite of mine, looks tough on the stretch out to a mile here, which should also place her closer to the pace than usual. To her outside, Pure Wow has consistently shown early speed, as has Drop a Hint in her recent starts. Speaktomeofsummer has won two of her three races at this distance, her trainer, Christophe Clement, has been just about the hottest turf trainer in New York dating back to late spring, and this filly could get a dream setup.

Strategy on a $10 Budget 

$5 to win on #2 Speaktomeofsummer ($5)

$2 exacta: 2 with 1,8 ($4)

$1 exacta: 1 with 2 ($1)

Strategy on a $25 Budget 

$10 to win on #2 Speaktomeofsummer ($10)

$8 exacta: 2 with 1 ($8)

$4 exacta: 2 with 8 ($4)

$2 exacta: 1 with 2 ($2)

$1 exacta: 8 with 2 ($3)

Strategy on a $50 Budget

$20 to win on #2 Speaktomeofsummer ($20)

$16 exacta: 2 with 1 ($16)

$8 exacta: 2 with 8 ($8)

$4 exacta: 1 with 2 ($4)

$2 exacta: 8 with 2 ($2)

Belmont Park, Race 11, 5:52 p.m. ET

#6 The Promised Road: The finale on the card features a full field of 2-year-old fillies, most of whom will be making their first start. This one, in particular, is a daughter of Quality Road and was a $220,000 auction purchase. In turf sprint races, 2-year-old starters by Quality Road win at a spectacular 21% clip – that’s easily best of any sire of the runners in this field. On the dam (mother) side, The Promised Road is a half-sister to No Mo Promises, who won in her first career start going this same six furlongs on the turf at Belmont. Lastly, The Promised Road is trained by George Weaver. He wins at a very high clip with his first-time starters and has a 20% strike rate with all 2-year-old starters in turf sprints. I couldn’t see being much more confident in a first-time starter than this one.

Strategy on a $10 Budget 

$3 win, place on #7 The Promised Road ($6)

$1 exacta key box: 7 with 1,8 ($4)

Strategy on a $25 Budget

$5 win, place, show on #7 The Promised Road ($15)

$1 exacta key box: 7 with 1,5,8,10,11 ($10)

Strategy on a $50 Budget

$10 win, place, show on #7 The Promised Road ($30)

$1 exacta key box: 7 with 1,5,8,10,11 ($10)

$1 trifecta: 7,8 with 1,7,8 with 1,5,7,8 ($8)

Last Week’s Earnings: $0

2020 Earnings: $4,119.68


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