Making Money Betting Bolt d’Oro in Breeders’ Cup Juvenile

Gambling
Racing fans at Del Mar check out the runners in the paddock before a race. (Penelope P. Miller/America's Best Racing)

The 13 Breeders’ Cup races traditionally draw very competitive fields where it’s difficult to have much confidence in any one horse, but once in a while a race comes along where the favorite looks like such a probable winner that handicappers have trouble envisioning any other outcome.

Such is the case in the $2 million, Grade 1 Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Juvenile on Nov. 4 at Del Mar. The race has drawn 12 starters, but one — #11 Bolt d’Oro — looks like a clear standout. Trained by Mick Ruis, the unbeaten colt has gone 3-for-3 in his brief career, including a spectacular 7 ¾-length romp in the Grade 1 FrontRunner Stakes at Santa Anita, for which he earned huge speed figures.

On paper, that performance gives Bolt d’Oro a substantial edge over his Breeders’ Cup Juvenile rivals, and the fact that he’s also 2-for-2 at Del Mar — including a late-running win in the Grade 1 Del Mar Futurity — adds to his solid credentials. He’ll be a clear favorite, but I think he’s the most likely winner by far.

For bettors playing multi-race wagers like doubles, Pick 3s, or the Pick 4, the Juvenile looks like a race in which you can have confidence playing only Bolt d’Oro, allowing you to spread deeper in the other races.

Even if you’re focusing on simpler, single-race wagers, Bolt d’Oro could be a very good play — a $20 win bet at his morning line odds of 9-5 would return $56, a respectable payoff for a horse that seems clearly best.

But if you’re a little more ambitious and want to seek a bigger score, you could also play Bolt d’Oro on top of an exacta with #6 Good Magic, impressive runner-up in the Grade 1 Champagne Stakes last time out; #2 Solomini, runner-up in the FrontRunner Stakes behind Bolt d’Oro; and #5 Free Drop Billy, four-length winner of the Grade 1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity. I’m particularly intrigued by Good Magic, despite the fact that he’s never won a race, as you can make a case that the Chad Brown-trained colt was the best horse in his debut, when he had a wide trip, and in the Champagne Stakes, in which he raced significantly closer to a solid early pace than the eventual winner. At 8-1 on the morning line, he could add some value to the exacta.

Here are a couple of wagering strategies to consider …

Wagering Strategy A

$20 to win on #11 Bolt d’Oro

Wagering Strategy B

$8 exacta: 11 with 6 ($8)

$6 exacta: 11 with 2,5 ($12)

Good luck, and enjoy the race!

2017 Sentient Jet Breeders' Cup Juvenile
November 4th, 2017

Winning Time: 1:43.34
  • Purse: $2,000,000
  • Distance: 1 1/16 Miles
  • Age: 2 yo
  • Surface: Dirt
  • Winning Time: 1:43.34
Results
Win
Place
Show
1st
6 Good Magic
$25.00
$9.40
$5.60
2nd
2 Solomini
$8.40
$4.40
3rd
11 Bolt d'Oro
$2.60
4th
4 Givemeaminit
5th
7 The Tabulator
6th
12 Hollywood Star
7th
3 Firenze Fire
9th
5 Free Drop Billy
10th
1 U S Navy Flag
11th
10 Golden Dragon
12th
8 Bahamian
Payoff
Pick 3
8-5-6
8-5-6
$264
Daily Double
5-6
5-6
$85
Exacta
6-2
6-2
$68
Superfecta
6-2-11-4
6-2-11-4
$5,314
Trifecta
6-2-11
6-2-11
$115
Race Replay
Play
Payoff
Pick 3
8-5-6
8-5-6
$264
Daily Double
5-6
5-6
$85
Exacta
6-2
6-2
$68
Superfecta
6-2-11-4
6-2-11-4
$5,314
Trifecta
6-2-11
6-2-11
$115

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