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Each Week, Tordjman will provide readers with his two best bets of the weekend and strategies for how to bet them. Tordjman will keep track of his return on investment (ROI) throughout the year and, as a bonus, he will also provide picks for a selection of the key races on the Triple Crown trail and the road to the Breeders’ Cup. Dan was able to manage a positive ROI for his plays in 2016. Come back every week and be sure to follow Tordjman on Twitter.

Saturday, July 22

Saratoga Race Course, Race 2, 1:33 p.m. ET 

#6 Tipsy Kitten (9-2): The great thing about Saratoga is that on any given day, you can find value up and down the race card. We start early on this opening Saturday card with a horse who could be overlooked in the betting, despite having won his last two races. I was extremely impressed with how Tipsy Kitten did it last out, rallying wide after being a little rank early. Despite running awkwardly down the lane, you could see that this horse — on talent alone — was head and shoulders above that starter allowance field, and was even geared down somewhat in the very late stages of the race. There seems to be a lot of ability here.

Note that, thanks to the power of STATS Race Lens, the fifth-place finisher in the race, Dawn Raider, was circled in Equibase’s past performances as a next-out winner in a race with a higher class rating that the one that Tipsy Kitten won. When he won two-races back, the runner-up out of that race also came back to win. Daddy’s Home (#1) is the one to beat and is going to be taking plenty of money but I don't think we’ve seen anything to suggest that he’s in any way superior to the in-form Tipsy Kitten at this juncture.

Strategy on a $10 Budget

$5 win and place on #6 Tipsy Kitten ($10)

Strategy on a $25 Budget

$4 win, place and show on #6 Tipsy Kitten ($12)

$1 trifecta 1,6 with 1,5,6,9 with 1,5,6,9 ($12)

Strategy on a $50 Budget 

$8 win, place and show on #6 Tipsy Kitten ($24)

$1 trifecta 1,6 with 1,5,6,9 with 1,5,6,8,9 ($18)

$4 exacta box 1,6 ($8)

Saratoga Race Course, Race 10, $500,000, Grade 1 Diana Stakes, 6:18 p.m. ET

#6 Dickinson: Her race in the Longines Just a Game Stakes on Belmont Stakes doesn’t look nearly as good on paper as it was in reality. She finished third to a horse who had a dream trip up an open rail, while Dickinson got herded out wide by the second-place finisher — and still lost by less than a length. Also consider that the Just a Game was a mile race, and that’s probably not long enough for a horse like this who takes a little while to get rolling and who has come home the winner of Grade 1, Grade 2 and Grade 3 races between a mile and a sixteenth and a mile and an eighth.

Expect Dickinson to benefit from the extra furlong here and, once again, she will very likely be passed over in the betting due to the presence of fan-favorite Lady Eli and Just a Game winner Antonoe.

Strategy on a $10 Budget

$5 win on #6 Dickinson ($5)

$2 exacta box 4,6 ($4)

Strategy on a $25 Budget

$5 win and place on #6 Dickinson ($10)

$2 exacta box 4,6 ($4)

$1 trifecta box 2,4,6 ($6)

$1 trifecta 2,6 with 2,3,6 with 2,3,6 ($4)

Strategy on a $50 Budget

$10 win and place on #6 Dickinson ($20)

$5 exacta box 4,6 ($10)

$2 trifecta box 2,4,6 ($12)

$1 trifecta 2,6 with 2,3,6 with 2,3,4,6 ($8)

Top Picks: 7/50

ROI: - $1,044.50