Bargain Hunting: A Big Auction Price is Rarely Predictive of Kentucky Derby Success

Racing
Auction, sale, price, pinhook, Mine That Bird, Incredibolt, yearling, Kentucky Derby, Seattle Slew, Potente, 2-year-old, Thoroughbred, So Happy Fusaichi Pegasus, Commandment, Further Ado, Triple Crown, America's Best Racing, horse racing, ABR
Virginia Derby Presented by New Kent County winner Incredibolt, purchased for $75,000 as a yearling, looks like a top bargain with $498,681 in purse earnings to date. (Eclipse Sportswire)

Horse racing is often referred to as “The Sport of Kings,” creating the impression that only those with incredible wealth can participate … and it is, no doubt, very expensive to own a horse much less a racehorse. But the reality is you don’t need to be a monarch or a Sheikh or a titan of industry to own a Kentucky Derby starter, or winner for that matter.

While it helps to have oodles of cash to spread around at Thoroughbred auctions to land a quality racehorse, Derby history tells us that the pricier prospects are not always better. In fact, big-ticket auction racehorses have not typically navigated their way to the winner’s circle on the first Saturday in May at Churchill Downs.

According to the Kentucky Derby media guide, 33 Kentucky Derby winners since 1960 sold at auction (four of them sold twice, so 37 auction results total) before winning the race for an average price of $237,754. That number is a bit inflated by one horse, 2000 Kentucky Derby winner Fusaichi Pegasus, who sold for $4 million. The $40,000 median is actually far more representative as 22 times the Derby winner changed hands at auction for $70,000 or less, including 11 different Kentucky Derby winners bought for 20 grand or less.

See the auction results below from 1971 Derby winner Canonero II ($1,200) to “FuPeg” at a cool $4 million, featuring some monumental bargains … we’re looking at you Seattle Slew ($17,500), Sunday Silence ($32,000), and Spectacular Bid ($37,000).

Year

Derby Winner

Sale Price

2023

Mage

$290,000

2020

Authentic

$350,000

2018

Justify

$500,000

2017

Always Dreaming

$350,000

2016

Nyquist

$400,000

2015

American Pharoah

$300,000

2012

I’ll Have Another

$35,000

2012

I’ll Have Another

$11,000

2011

Animal Kingdom

$100,000

2009

Mine That Bird

$9,500

2008

Big Brown

$190,000

2008

Big Brown

$60,000

2003

Funny Cide

$22,000

2002

War Emblem

$20,000

2001

Monarchos

$170,000

2000

Fusaichi Pegasus

$4,000,000

1998

Real Quiet

$17,000

1997

Silver Charm

$100,000

1997

Silver Charm

$16,500

1995

Thunder Gulch

$40,000

1994

Go for Gin

$150,000

1994

Go for Gin

$32,000

1992

Lil E. Tee

$25,000

1990

Unbridled

$70,000

1989

Sunday Silence

$32,000

1988

Winning Colors

$575,000

1987

Alysheba

$500,000

1980

Genuine Risk

$32,000

1979

Spectacular Bid

$37,000

1977

Seattle Slew

$17,500

1976

Bold Forbes

$15,200

1975

Foolish Pleasure

$20,000

1971

Canonero II

$1,200

1970

Dust Commander

$6,500

1969

Majestic Prince

$250,000

1966

Kauai King

$42,000

1960

Venetian Way

$10,500

Likewise, the racehorses who sold for a noteworthy sum at auction and excel on the racetrack to the point of making it into the starting gate on Derby day have not historically performed well in the first jewel of the Triple Crown.

Of the 30 most expensive 3-year-olds to start in the Kentucky Derby (see table below) since 1982, only Fusaichi Pegasus won. Lion Heart (a $1.4 million purchase) ran second to Smarty Jones in 2004 and Good Magic ($1 million) finished second to Triple Crown winner Justify in 2018. But recently, these big-priced horses have performed well with Sierra Leone ($2.3 million) finishing second to Mystik Dan in 2024 and Journalism ($825,000) and Baeza ($1.2 million) running second and third, respectively, behind Sovereignty in 2025. Still, 17 of the 30 listed below finished 10th or worse in their respective Kentucky Derby.

Year

Horse

Auction Price

Derby Finish

2000

Fusaichi Pegasus

$4,000,000

1

2009

Dunkirk

$3,700,000

11

2018

Mendelssohn

$3,000,000

20

1989

Houston

$2,900,000

8

2024 Sierra Leone $2,300,000 2

2009

Desert Party

$2,100,000

14

2001

Talk Is Money

$1,800,000

17

2022

Taiba

$1,700,000

12

2015

Carpe Diem

$1,600,000

10

2007

Cowtown Cat

$1,500,000

20

1996

Unbridled’s Song

$1,400,000

5

2000

Exchange Rate

$1,400,000

12

2004

Lion Heart

$1,400,000

2

2006

A.P. Warrior

$1,300,000

18

2023

Tapit Trice

$1,300,000

7

2001

Millennium Wind

$1,200,000

11

2017

Tapwrit

$1,200,000

6

2025 Baeza $1,200,000 3
2025 Sandman $1,200,000 7

2005

Noble Causeway

$1,150,000

14

2007

Any Given Saturday

$1,100,000

8

2000

High Yield

$1,050,000

15

2018

Instilled Regard

$1,050,000

4

1983

Chumming

$1,000,000

12

2001

Songandaprayer

$1,000,000

13

2018

Good Magic

$1,000,000

2

2020

Money Moves

$975,000

13

2025 Journalism $825,000 2

2020

Honor A. P.

$850,000

4

1987

Capote

$800,000

DNF

2023

Kingsbarns

$800,000

14

It may be called “The Sport of Kings” but it’s often the pauper who becomes the prince as the saying goes under the Twin Spires on the first Saturday in May.

Seattle Slew, 1977 Kentucky Derby, Triple Crown, America's Best Racing, horse racing, ABR
Seattle Slew, a $17,500 auction purchase, winning the 1977 Kentucky Derby. (BloodHorse Library)

The 2026 Kentucky Derby Field

Of the 24 horses remaining under consideration on April 22 for the 2026 Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve, 19 of them were sold at public Thoroughbred auction, including each the top 10 3-year-olds by Kentucky Derby qualifying points.

Silent Tactic, Triple Crown, Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, horse racing, America's Best Racing, ABR
Southwest Stakes winner Silent Tactic (Coady Media)

Six of the horses on target for the Derby — Further Ado, So HappySilent Tactic, Iron Honor (unlikely to compete in the Derby), Six Speed, and Intrepido — were sold in the auction ring multiple times. Santa Anita Derby winner So Happy sold on three occasions as a weanling in 2023, a yearling in 2024, and as a 2-year-old in 2025.

A Thoroughbred selling multiple times at auction is not an indication that the racehorse wasn’t wanted. In fact, it often indicates that someone viewed the prospect as vastly undervalued with a chance to develop into a more appealing sale horse with time, development, and maturity. Bloodstock agents — a person who advises or represents a buyer or seller of Thoroughbreds at a public auction or private sale — with a keen eye look to identify racehorse prospects with the intention of reselling them for a profit. The process is called a pinhook and it often involves buying a Thoroughbred as a weanling (less than a year old) and selling them as a yearling (1-year-old) or buying them as a yearling and re-selling them at a 2-year-olds in training auction. Southwest Stakes winner Silent Tactic was purchased for $60,000 as a yearling by Thorostock and re-sold six months later for $500,000 as a 2-year-old. Likewise, Cardozo’s Brothers Training and Sales bought Grade 1 winner Intrepido for $30,000 as a yearling and seven months later sold him for $385,000.

In the table below, the 2026 Kentucky Derby hopefuls are list in order from highest auction price to lowest. For the six horses who sold on multiple occasions, they are listed in order by the highest price they sold for at auction with the lower sale price directly below (in italics). The top auction price among this year’s Kentucky Derby contenders is Potente, a $2.4 million purchase at the 2024 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga yearling sale who went on to win the San Felipe Stakes Presented by DK Horse and ran second in the Santa Anita Derby. Virginia Derby Presented by New Kent County winner Incredibolt, purchased for $75,000 as a yearling, looks like a top bargain with $498,681 in purse earnings to date.

2026 Derby Contender

Auction Price

Auction year

Potente

$2,400,000

2024 (yearling)

Renegade

$975,000

2024 (yearling)

Litmus Test

$875,000

2024 (yearling)

Further Ado (sold twice)

$550,000

2025 (2-year-old)

Further Ado

$275,000

2024 (yearling)

Commandment

$500,000

2024 (yearling)

Silent Tactic (sold twice)

$500,000

2025 (2-year-old)

Silent Tactic

$60,000

2024 (yearling)

Iron Honor (sold twice)

$475,000

2024 (yearling)

Iron Honor

$230,000

2024 (yearling)

Danon Bourbon

$450,000

2024 (yearling)

Fulleffort

$425,000

2024 (yearling)

Intrepido (sold twice)

$385,000

2025 (2-year-old)

Intrepido

$30,000

2024 (yearling)

Right to Party

$325,000

2024 (yearling)

Albus

$320,000

2024 (yearling)

Six Speed (sold twice)

$304,680

2025 (2-year-old)

Six Speed

$50,000

2024 (yearling)

Chip Honcho

$210,000

2024 (yearling)

Emerging Market

$185,000

2024 (yearling)

So Happy (sold three times)

$150,000

2025 (2-year-old)

So Happy

$20,000

2024 (yearling)

So Happy

$12,000

2023 (weanling)

The Puma

$150,000

2025 (2-year-old)

Incredibolt

$75,000

2024 (yearling)

Great White

$55,000

2024 (yearling)

NOTE: Derby contenders sold multiple times listed in order by the highest price they sold for at auction with the lower sale price directly below (in italics). If the horse did not meet its reserve (RNA) or was listed as out of the sale, it was not included in the table. Only instances where the horse was sold at auction are included.

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