How Horses Qualify for the Kentucky Derby: A Beginner’s Guide
Trendsetter Steps Out in Style to Score Lexington Stakes Upset at Keeneland
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Just over a week after training Percy's Bar to an upset over favored Zany in the Grade 1 Central Bank Ashland Stakes April 3, trainer Ben Colebrook pulled off an even greater surprise April 11 when Trendsetter scored a 32-1 upset in the $398,750 Grade 3 Stonestreet Lexington Stakes at Keeneland.
"Somebody pinch me," he said, smiling. "You're never expecting this."
The public wasn't expecting it. Trendsetter went off as the seventh choice in the field of nine 3-year-olds in the Lexington. After winning his first two starts, Trendsetter had lost five consecutive races including a couple of respectable minor stakes placings, such as a third in the March 21 Rushaway Stakes at Turfway Park.
Colebrook and owner Midway Racing did not nominate Trendsetter to the Triple Crown when early nominations closed for $600 this winter, and later ones closed last week for $6,000.
His race Saturday, coming over his home track at Keeneland, brought his performance to a higher level. He reeled in the leaders from fourth on the second turn with a powerful surge and pulled away to score by 2 1/4 lengths over runner-up The Hell We Did, who is a half-brother to 2024 Saudi Cup winner Senor Buscador. Pacesetting Corona de Oro, who set splits of :23.68, :47.92, and 1:12.12, held on for third.
Trendsetter raced 1 1/16 miles on a fast track in 1:44.51, the slowest time in the race since Tawny Port ran 1:45.24 in 2022. He paid $66.68 to win.
"I think it's a big deal training at Keeneland year-round and to have a horse that knows this course and has been here," Colebrook said.
Jockey Kazushi Kimura, who is based in California, appeared to misjudge the first-wire finish used for 1 1/16-mile races at Keeneland, keeping his mount in a drive toward the customary finish farther along in the stretch. It didn't matter. Trendsetter won with lengths to spare.

I Did I Did finished fourth and favored Confessional was fifth.
Though the Lexington offered limited points as the final prep race as part of the Road to the Kentucky Derby series on a 20-10-6-4-2 scale to its top five finishers, it is unlikely to propel any horse into the Derby field. Even if Trendsetter were supplemented to the Derby at a cost of $200,000, his 20 qualifying points is below the current threshold for entry. Churchill Downs uses qualifying points as a preference system when the Derby is oversubscribed beyond its 20-horse maximum field size.
Trendsetter could become supplemented to the Triple Crown for $150,000 before the second leg in the May 16 Preakness Stakes at Laurel Park. It costs $50,000 to do so before the third and final leg of the Triple Crown, the Belmont Stakes presented by NYRA Bets June 6 at Saratoga Race Course.
Last year's Lexington winner, Gosger, ran second in the 2025 Preakness behind Journalism.
"There's plenty of races for 3-year-olds, so I think we'll probably bypass it," Colebrook said of a Preakness try. "But we'll talk about it."
The Preakness could be an option for runner-up The Hell We Did, who routed for the first time in the Lexington.
