Champagne’s Live Longshots and Value Plays for the Travers Stakes Card

Gambling
Saratoga Race Course, DraftKings Travers Stakes, America's Best Racing, horse racing, ABR
The Saratoga Race Course summer meet is in full swing and this Saturday’s DraftKings Travers Stakes card is an annual highlight of the meet. (Eclipse Sportswire)

Saturday is Travers Stakes day at Saratoga Race Course, and the 14-race program (yes, a 14-race program) features plenty of appealing wagering opportunities. In this space, we’ll take a look at a few runners that could offer a lot of value at their expected prices.

With so much to dissect, we won’t waste any more time. Let’s get to it!

weekend TV schedule

Thursday, Aug. 21: 1-5 p.m. on FS2; 5-6:30 p.m. on FS1; post time varies on FanDuel TV

Friday, Aug. 22: 1-3 p.m. on FS2; 3-6:30 p.m. on FS1; post time varies on FanDuel TV

Saturday, Aug. 23: 12-3 p.m. and 6:30-7 p.m. on FS2; 3-6:30 p.m. on FOX; post time varies on FanDuel TV

Sunday, Aug. 24: 1-5:30 p.m. on FS2; 5:30-6:30 p.m. on FS1; post time varies on FanDuel TV

Race #5: #1 Alpine Giant (8-1 morning line)

We’ll start in this first-level allowance for New York-bred turf sprinters. It’s drawn a few horses coming down in class out of stakes races, but I think one on the way up the class ladder merits respect, too.

It’s safe to assume something went wrong in Alpine Giant’s clunker of a debut, because we didn’t see her again for another 10 months. She did, however, come back with a professional score downstate at a big price (she was 14-1 that day). Speed figures-wise, she probably needs to improve, but she’s relatively inexperienced with just two career tries to date, and the addition of Lasix (furosemide) could move her forward even further.

I respect #6 Annascaul and #10 Silsbee, who figure to be your most likely favorites and both boast plenty of back class. However, if you’re playing any exotics (horizontal or vertical), Alpine Giant hits me as a must-use, and a potential “knockout” horse in the payoff leg of the early Pick 5 and Pick 4.

Race #12: #5 Extra Anejo (20-1 morning line)

Extra Anejo (Eclipse Sportswire)

Let’s be clear: #4 Book’em Danno is an extremely likely winner of the Grade 1 Forego Stakes. His two wins here have been excellent, and he’s blossomed into arguably the best one-turn horse in the country.

However, I think Extra Anejo is a very appealing horse to use in the exotics. He’s a seven-furlong specialist, with three wins in four tries at the quirky distance. He went a bit longer last time out in the Hanshin Stakes Presented by JRA at Churchill Downs, and he faded a bit late to finish third. The cutback to his favorite trip should move him forward.

Furthermore, he boasts a workout tab that I love to see in Steve Asmussen trainees. He has a two-back bullet drill on the Oklahoma training track, followed by a slower “maintenance” move leading into the race. Over the years, I’ve learned to see this as a sign Asmussen has one ready to go. Perhaps Extra Anejo isn’t good enough to win this, but he can absolutely grab a piece of it if he shows up with his best effort.

Race #14: #3 Sky Low Low (12-1 morning line)

Yes, there’s a race after the Travers, and I think it provides an ample opportunity at a “get-out” score. #1 Dancin Jane is your probable favorite, and it’s not like she ran terribly last time out, but she was odds-on that day, so I can’t blame you if you’re in the market for an alternative.

An appealing one is Sky Low Low, who’s making her first start since October. Named as an homage to a little-person wrestler from the mid-20th century, Sky Low Low didn’t run awfully in her lone start. She’s been working consistently for Adrianne DeVaux, who doesn’t have many runners but is 2-for-4 with horses coming off of long breaks, and it doesn’t hurt that she gets Lasix (furosemide) for the first time, either.

It’s possible she needs a race after a long break, and two turns is an unknown. However, I think there are reasons to believe Sky Low Low is sitting on an improved performance in the nightcap. At a minimum, I think her expected price is an overlay.


newsletter sign-up

Stay up-to-date with the best from America's Best Racing!

Facebook Twitter Pinterest Instagram TikTok YouTube
Facebook Twitter Pinterest Instagram TikTok YouTube