A “Win and You’re In” berth into the Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic is up for grabs in Saturday’s $1 million Grade 1 NYRA Bets Haskell Stakes at Monmouth Park.

Several accomplished horses are expected to enter the 1 1/8-mile race for 3-year-olds, including acclaimed Triple Crown veteran Journalism. Reviewing the last 20-plus years of Haskell history will help us sort through the contenders and determine the most likely winner.

Here are seven trends to keep in mind as you handicap the Haskell:

Tactical speed is an asset

While pacesetters have won only three of the last 20 editions of the Haskell (15%), horses racing within 2 1/2 lengths of the lead after a half-mile have won 15 of the last 20 editions (75%), so tactical speed typically is an asset.

Bob Baffert’s success rate is spectacular

Nine-time Haskell winner Bob Baffert. (Sophie Shore/Eclipse Sportswire)

Since 2000, Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert has started 15 horses in the Haskell. Nine (60%) finished first, five (33%) finished second, and one (7%) finished third. That adds up to a perfect 100% in-the-money rate.

Favor horses who competed in the Triple Crown

Horses who competed in one or more legs of the Triple Crown perform best in the Haskell. Alumni from the Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve, Preakness Stakes, and Belmont Stakes presented by NYRA Bets have won 16 of the last 20 editions of the Haskell, as well as 25 of the last 30.

A victory racing one mile or farther is critical

Every Haskell winner since at least 1981 (as far back as we’ve researched) had previously won a race at one mile or longer.

Stakes winners are almost unstoppable

Did you know 44 of the last 45 Haskell winners had previously won a stakes race? The lone exception in this sample size is Paynter (2012), who entered the Haskell off a close runner-up finish in the Belmont Stakes.

Avoid betting longshots

Longshots rarely win, or even challenge, in the Haskell. Favorites have won 11 of the last 20 editions (55%). Only five Haskell winners since 1992 have gone off at odds higher than 9-2 and 52 of the last 60 horses (87%) to record a top-three finish in the Haskell started at single-digit odds.

Journalism (#2) and Gosger renew their rivalry in the Haskell. (Tim Sudduth/Eclipse Sportswire)

Favor the progeny of long-winded stallions

Each of the last 16 Haskell winners was sired by a stallion who competed in a Triple Crown race and/or won at the Grade 1 level at 1 1/16 miles or longer.

Conclusions

Two months ago, Journalism and Gosger finished half a length apart when first and second in the Preakness Stakes. History suggests there’s a strong chance they’ll run 1-2 again in the Haskell.

Aside from the fact neither colt is trained by Bob Baffert, they match every historical angle we’ve outlined. Both have tactical speed and have won stakes races running longer than one mile. Gosger, a son of Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist, won the 1 1/16-mile Grade 3 Stonestreet Lexington Stakes prior to the Preakness. Journalism, a son of Preakness winner Curlin, sandwiched his 1 3/16-mile Preakness triumph in between runner-up finishes in the Kentucky Derby and Belmont Stakes.

The fact Journalism figures to start as the Haskell favorite tips the historical scale slightly in his favor. Gosger will be a short price, too, but since favorites have won 11 of the last 20 editions of the Haskell, Journalism is the most likely winner this Saturday.

Good luck, and enjoy the race!