Dan's Double: Saturday Turf Angles at Churchill

Gambling
Turf racing at Churchill Downs. (Eclipse Sportswire)

Dan’s Double of the week, featuring handicapping analysis from America’s Best Racing’s New York correspondent Dan Tordjman, is brought to you by Horseplayers.com, the official online qualifying site of the Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge (BCBC) and National Horseplayers Championship (NHC).

Horseplayers.com offers low-cost feeders every day and BCBC and NHC qualifiers every weekend, and it’s the only site where you can qualify for the $1 million BCBC. It’s free to sign up – click here to get information about registering and how to enter contests.

When it comes to making money when handicapping races and betting on horse racing, it’s all about picking winners. Tordjman – DanonymousMan to those who follow him on Twitter – is one of the sharpest horseplayers around.

Each week, Tordjman will provide readers with his two best bets of the weekend and strategies for how to bet them. Good luck!


Saturday, May 30, Churchill Downs, Race 6, post time 3:36 p.m. ET

weekend Television schedule

Thursday, May 28: 1-6 p.m. ET on FS2; post time varies on TVG

Friday, May 29: 12:30-2:20 and 4:30-5:30 p.m. ET on FS2; 4-7 p.m. ET on NBCSN; post time varies on TVG

Saturday, May 30: 1-4 and 5-6:30 p.m. ET on FS2; 4-8 p.m. ET on NBCSN; post time varies on TVG

Sunday, May 31: 1-6 p.m. ET on FS2; 4-8 p.m. ET on NBCSN; post time varies on TVG

#10 Tiesto: I didn’t mind this horse’s first start of 2020. Off of a fourth-month break, Tiesto returned in late February in turf stakes at Gulfstream Park. Although he drew the rail, jockey Junior Alvarado decided to pull out into the clear with him. That move resulted in Tiesto losing a considerable amount of ground, which might’ve cost him the race when you consider he was only beaten a length by a horse who sat in the two-path off of a slow pacesetter for most of the race. I’m expecting the pace to be much hotter here. If we get the kind of step forward you’d anticipate in a horse’s second start of the year, Tiesto could be primed for a big effort and get a nice setup. Trainer Bill Mott, as usual, has been sending out a lot of really sharp runners – through 15 starts at Churchill, just under half of Mott’s runners have hit the board and he’s won 20% of those races.

$10 Budget 

$10 to win on #10 Tiesto ($10)

$25 Budget 

$10 to win on #10 Tiesto ($10)

$1 trifecta key 10 with 3,5,7,12 ($12)

$50 Budget

$20 to win on #10 Tiesto ($20)

$1 trifecta key 10 with 3,5,7,12 ($12)

$12 exacta 10 with 5 ($12)

$5 exacta 5 with 10 ($5)

Saturday, May 30, Churchill Downs, Race 9, post time 5:12 p.m. ET

#7 Unaquoi: Give me a hard-trying horse from the Mid-Atlantic showing up in a turf race at Churchill Downs, and I’m in! There should be a healthy amount of speed signed up for this sprint and Unaquoi is well drawn in the eight-hole to be able to sit just off of it, hopefully in the second or third flight of the field. Not only does he come in fresh for Ollie Figgins (who hits at about 20% off the layoff), they’ve also booked Jose Ortiz to ride. Aside from a stakes try last September and non-winners of three allowance optional claiming race back in July, Unaquoi has shown up race after race. He possesses the highest late pace figure on Equibase (107.5) and the third-best last out turf Beyer Speed Figure (82). Despite the eye-opening jockey booking I think we should still get a pretty nice price on this one.

$10 Budget 

$2 win, place and show on #7 Unaqoui ($6)

$1 exacta 7,8 with 6,7,8 ($4)

$25 Budget

$4 win, place and show on #7 Unaquoi ($12)

$1 exacta box 2,6,7,8 ($12)

$50 Budget

$10 to win, $5 to place and show on #7 Unaquoi ($20)

$1 exacta box 2,6,7,8 ($12)

$.50 trifecta key box 7 with 1,2,6,8 ($18)

Last Week’s Earnings: $0

2020 Earnings: $1,762.40

newsletter sign-up

Stay up-to-date with the best from America's Best Racing!