Dan’s Double: Keeneland Saturday Turf Selections

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Turf racing at Keeneland. (Eclipse Sportswire)

Dan’s Double of the week, featuring handicapping analysis from America’s Best Racing’s New York correspondent Dan Tordjman, is brought to you by Horseplayers.com, the official online qualifying site of the Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge (BCBC) and National Horseplayers Championship (NHC).

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When it comes to making money when handicapping races and betting on horse racing, it’s all about picking winners. Tordjman – DanonymousMan to those who follow him on Twitter – is one of the sharpest horseplayers around.

Each week, Tordjman will provide readers with his two best bets of the weekend and strategies for how to bet them. Good luck!


Saturday, July 11, Keeneland Race 6, $150,000 Shakertown Stakes, post time 3:51 p.m. ET

weekend Television schedule

Friday, July 10: 1-6:30 p.m. ET on FS2; post time varies on TVG

Saturday, July 11: 1-6:30 p.m. ET on FS2; post time varies on TVG

Sunday, July 12: 12:30–2 p.m. ET on FS1; 2-5 p.m. ET on FS2; 5–7 p.m. ET on NBCSN; post time varies on TVG

#9 Texas Wedge: Inconsistency has defined this horse over past year or so but you can truly make excuses for each and every one of his poorer performances. Absent a freakish performance by Oleksandra and a career-best effort from Kanthaka, Texas Wedge probably comes out of the June 20 Jaipur Stakes Presented by America’s Best Racing as one of the more highly regarded turf sprinters in the country. Considering he was so close to a pace that saw all of the horses up front fade, he really did put in a massive effort there to finish third. In his prior race, the Daytona Stakes, he was wide all of the way around and just lacked punch late. I’m expecting a peak performance here in his third race off the layoff and he should have a more moderate pace to track and ultimately close into.

Strategy on a $10 Budget 

$2 win, place and show on #9 Texas Wedge ($6)

$1 exacta 9 with 1,2,8,13 ($4)

Strategy on a $25 Budget

$4 win, place and show on #9 Texas Wedge ($12)

$1 exacta 9 with 1,2,8,13 ($4)

$6 exacta 9 with 8 ($6)

$2 exacta 8 with 9 ($2)

Strategy on a $50 Budget

$8 win, place and show on #9 Texas Wedge ($24)

$2 exacta 9 with 1,2,8,13 ($8)

$6 exacta 9 with 8 ($6)

$2 exacta 8 with 9 ($2)

$5 double 8,9 with 2 ($10)


Saturday, July 11, Keeneland Race 8, $350,000 Coolmore Jenny Wiley Stakes, post time 4:57 p.m. ET

#2 Juliet Foxtrot: There’s no question that #4 Rushing Fall is the most accomplished horse in this field and, all things being equal, the best horse in the race. However, I think we’ve got an opportunity to beat her here thanks to the presence of #6 Jolie Olimpica whose a horse that is guaranteed to show a ton of speed out of the gate. I don’t think Rushing Fall needs the lead but I think she’s at her best when she’s on the lead. That in mind, we’ll take a swing here with Juliet Foxtrot coming off of a subpar performance last out at Churchill Downs in the Old Forester Mint Julep Stakes. Take note of the fact that she found herself on the lead in that race and that isn’t where she typically prefers to set up shop. She’ll get a really nice stalking trip with some pace to run into here. She’s got an allowance win and a runner-up to Uni over this turf course. She’s gonna run a much better race on Saturday. Here’s hoping we get a bit of a price.

Strategy on a $10 Budget 

$3 win, place and show on #2 Juliet Foxtrot ($9)

Strategy on a $25 Budget 

$4 win, place and show on #2 Juliet Foxtrot ($12)

$1 trifecta 2,4 with 2,4,5,8 with 2,4,5,8 ($12)

Strategy on a $50 Budget

$8 win, place and show on #2 Juliet Foxtrot ($12)

$1 trifecta 2,4 with 2,4,5,8 with 2,4,5,8 ($12)

$10 exacta 2 with 4 ($10)

$4 exacta 4 with 2 ($4)

$2 exacta key box 2 with 1,4,5 ($12)

Last Week’s Earnings: $52.50

2020 Earnings: $3,523.83

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