Pigskins and Ponies: Home-Field Advantage, Del Mar Sunday Stakes

Gambling

If you like betting both football and horse racing, you've come to the right place!

Each week in Pigskins and Ponies you'll find analysis and key football bets from Payne Insider and Todd Fuhrman plus racing picks from Jose Contreras.

Professional bettor Payne Insider and former oddsmaker Todd Fuhrman are founders of Bet the Board, a cutting edge sports betting company focused on written and digital content. You can listen to Bet The Board podcast every Monday, Wednesday, and Thursday during football season on iTunes and Soundcloud.

Handicapper Jose Contreras is an analyst for horse racing network TVG and a regular contributor to America's Best Racing.

Get this week's picks below, and be sure to check back for new selections each week. Happy betting!


Pigskins

Seattle Seahawks @ Carolina Panthers -3 (-119):

When looking at home/road splits for Carolina, we see a clear dichotomy in performance. Carolina is undefeated at home, 5-0, with an average margin of victory of 9.8 points per game. They’re off back-to-back road losses, and have talked about this game having a “playoff” atmosphere. Even with the extra rest for Seattle, I’m not sure they can slow down this Carolina offense. The Panthers attack you through a variety of ways on the ground, and we’re not convinced Seattle can stop them. At the key number of 3 at BetOnline.AG, Carolina has some value.  

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos 1H Under 23.5 (-105):  

Staying with the recent theme of these Bet the Board Pittsburgh breakdowns, the defense has been very good, and continues to impress as the season progresses. That being said, they looked vulnerable against a power running offense, and I would bet Denver has taken some notes on the Jaguars’ script last week. Denver has Royce Freeman and Phillip Lindsey to bolster the third most efficient rush offense in the NFL, and we expect head coach Vance Joseph to implement a running style early on. If Denver can limit the Steelers explosive pass offense early on, this under has an edge.

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings 1H Under 24 (-115):

This Vikings defense has drastically improved from the beginning of the year and now ranks first in explosive pass defense and fifth in overall defensive efficiency (the return of Everson Griffin has been huge). With linebacker Anthony Barr returning, it should only improve. The Packers have shown a propensity to establish the run game if possible, and could have some success there. Both teams are top five in adjusted sack percentage, and with the Vikings’ inability to run the football, a slow start here is not out of the question.   

LSU @ Texas A&M -2.5 (-115):  

The Aggies are in an excellent spot at home in College Station against one of the most overrated teams in the country. Texas A&M is excellent at two things: stopping the run (3.1 opponents’ yards per carry), and getting after the quarterback (12th in the country in sack percentage). In LSU’s two losses against Florida and Alabama, they couldn’t establish the run, averaging only 2.9 yards per carry. Jimbo Fisher should come up with a solid offensive game plan to put points on the board, and with one of the best home-field advantages in the country, we expect the Aggies to show well this year. 

Best Bet: [210] Texas A&M -2.5 (-115)


Ponies

Sunday, Nov. 25

Del Mar, Race 6, Cecil B. DeMille Stakes, 6 p.m. ET

#2 Takeo Squared (7-2 odds) was off slow in his most recent start and found himself last with too much work to do. He made a big wide move and finished fourth behind fellow rival Rijeka. Factoring in the trouble, he should have at least finished second or third in that race. I expect a big effort with a clean start.

Total picks: 25

Total winners: 3

Total money returned with $2 to win on each pick: -$25.60

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