Dan's Double: Bourbonette Oaks Longshot, Creative Gulfstream Pick

Gambling
Penelope P. Miller/America's Best Racing

When it comes to making money when handicapping races and betting on horse racing, it’s all about picking winners. Dan Tordjman, America’s Best Racing’s New York correspondent, is one of the brightest young minds in the game.

Each Week, Tordjman – DanonymousMan to those who follow him on Twitter – will provide readers with his two best bets of the weekend and strategies for how to bet them. Tordjman will keep track of his return on investment (ROI) throughout the year and, as a bonus, he will also provide picks for a selection of the key races on the Triple Crown trail and the road to the Breeders’ Cup. Dan was able to manage a positive ROI for his plays in 2016. Come back every week and be sure to follow Tordjman on Twitter.

Saturday, March 25

Turfway Park, Race 9, $100,000 Bourbonette Oaks, 5:09 p.m. ET

#8 Gilded Lily (8-1): This filly has been flawless in two career starts, going wire to wire last out and winning from just off the pace on debut. She rallied professionally while wide in both of those races and for her to so easily win in her first try against winners in her last was extremely impressive. The other variable here is that the pace should be honest, given the presence of #6 Delphinia and #2 Jenna J. Both have flashed a lot of early speed when sprinting and figure to be at each other from the break, while stretching out here. Gilded Lily should be able to sit a nice stalking trip. From a pedigree perspective, Gilded Lily is a half to two other winners on the all-weather going long, including stakes winner Patena.

Strategy on a $10 Budget

$2 win, place and show on #8 Gilded Lily ($6)

$1 exacta 3,8 over 3,8,9 ($4)

Strategy on a $25 Budget

$4 win, place and show on #8 Gilded Lily ($12)

$.50 trifecta box 3,6,8,9 ($12)

Strategy on a $50 Budget

$8 win, place and show on #8 Gilded Lily ($24)

$1 exacta box 3,6,8,9 ($12)

$.50 trifecta box 3,6,8,9 ($12)

Sunday, March 26

Gulfstream Park, Race 6, 3:02 p.m. ET

#1 Creative Talent: Lots to like about this filly after she showed marked improvement last out in her first race after being claimed for trainer Jorge Navarro. He scores at a remarkable 30 percent clip second off the claim. She finished a very game second in that last race, despite sitting off a loose leader who was dropping down from allowance level as the short-priced favorite. Creative Talent broke widest of all in that race and now returns with the coveted rail spot, from which she should be able to establish an early lead and never turn back.

Strategy on a $10 Bankroll

$10 to win on #1 Creative Talent ($10)

Strategy on a $25 Bankroll

$1 trifecta 1,6 with 1,2,4,6 with 1,2,4,6 ($12)

$4 exacta box 1,6 ($8)

$5 to win on Creative Talent ($5)

Strategy on a $50 Bankroll

$1 trifecta box 1,2,4,6 ($24)

$5 exacta box 1,6 ($10)

$15 to win on Creative Talent ($15)

YTD Top Picks: 2/21

ROI for All Bets: -$675.35

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