The Basics: How to Bet the Kentucky Derby
Best Bets: Woodbine Longshots, Blinkers Added at Belmont
GamblingAmerica’s Best Racing and handicapper (and avid gambler) Monique Vág team up to provide horseplayers with their best bets of the weekend.
Vág will identify her top picks as well as at least one longshot play of the weekend, a nice opportunity to swing for the fences on a win bet or to take a shot with a show bet. She also will occasionally look for strong exacta plays for the weekend or try to spot a nice opportunity for other wagers.
This Weekend’s Bets
Saturday, Sept. 19
Longshot Play
Arlington Park, Race 2, 3:35 p.m. ET
#8 Poseidon’s Passion: This filly has raced very well on the turf, winning three out of five starts over the surface in her career with those wins coming in different ways.
Although she does possess racing versatility, a race like this with quite a bit of early speed could set up well for this filly to work out a rallying effort. There is a big possibility for a speed duel to ensue upfront early on, and she would likely benefit the most from being able to pick up the pieces late.
Longshot Play
Woodbine, Race 7, $125,000 Singspiel Stakes, 4:27 p.m. ET
#4 Standard Deviation: He was no threat in the United Nations Stakes last time out, but now gets to try his luck racing longer, taking a drop in class and getting a new change of scenery at Woodbine.
Today he draws a good post to work out a ground saving trip mid-pack, or behind some of the early speed. He should get support at the windows this weekend, but could offer some nice value, as we know the talent and potential is there.
Best Bet
Belmont Park, Race 9, 5:14 p.m. ET
#3 Call Me Harry: This gelding made his first start last time out on Lasix (furosemide) and disappointed as the favorite off a good trip. Blinkers are added this time around and that could be a positive sign to keep him interested down the lane. It is also a good thing to see jockey John Velazquez back on board.
He should be a popular betting option once again, and if he’s put into play early, he certainly looks like the one to beat.
Longshot Play
Woodbine, Race 12, 7:15 p.m. ET
#11 Executive Search: He returns to racing over the Tapeta Footings surface after a try over the turf, where he just missed. His last two efforts over the all-weather surface resulted in back-to-back victories, where he flaunted early speed. Drawing outside could be tricky here, especially in such a short sprint race, but he’s looked his best when he’s been put into play early and he should be a major factor if able to settle in on the front.