Using History As a Guide to Betting the 2023 Florida Derby
Knicks Go Scores 70-1 Upset in Breeders’ Futurity to Headline Fall Stars Saturday at KeenelandRacingContent provided by BloodHorse
A longshot colt stunned the crowd Oct. 6 in the Grade 1, $500,000 Claiborne Breeders' Futurity at Keeneland.
At odds of 70-1, KRA Stud Farm's Knicks Go carried jockey Albin Jimenez and trainer Ben Colebrook to their to their first Grade 1 wins with a front-running 5 ½-length score over 12 juvenile rivals in the Breeders’ Futurity. The 1 1/16-mile race is a Breeders' Cup Challenge "Win and You're In" qualifier for the Nov. 2 Sentient Jet Breeders' Cup Juvenile at Churchill Downs.
The Maryland-bred son of Paynter took the early lead, relaxed perfectly while setting a moderate pace, and was never threatened en route to his victory in a final time of 1:44.23.
"The horse trains real well here, so that's kind of why we took a shot," Colebrook said. "He's always breezed like a good horse. ... Albin just stole it, really. They didn't give him any respect and he got out there and just got to gallop. I could see (Knicks Go) on the backside, his ears were just going. I could tell he was going to run big. But I didn't think he was going to run that big. It was just amazing."
Colebrook said he will "definitely" consider a start in the Breeders' Cup for the colt. Runner-up Signalman, trained by Ken McPeek, will also train for the race, the centerpiece of the Breeders’ Cup Future Stars Friday card under the twin spires on Nov. 2.
Standard Deviation finished three-quarters of a length behind Signalman in third.
Knicks Go was entered off a third-place finish in the Sept. 15 Arlington-Washington Futurity over seven furlongs on the synthetic surface at Arlington International Racecourse, and won for the second time in four starts. He aced his maiden upon debut July 4 going five furlongs at Ellis Park, then was fifth in the six-furlong Sanford Stakes at Saratoga Race Course July 21 before his Arlington run.–Claire Crosby
Grade 1, $1 Million Shadwell Turf Mile Stakes:
Finding room in the stretch along the rail, Next Shares surged to his first Grade 1 win under Tyler Gaffalione in the $1 million Shadwell Turf Mile, Breeders' Cup Challenge "Win and You're In" race for the Nov. 3 Breeders' Cup Mile.
Coming into the race off of a sharp win in a stakes at Kentucky Downs, Next Shares settled in fifth through the backstretch and then found plenty of room for a winning rally in the final eighth of a mile, scoring by 3 ¼ lengths at 23.40-1 odds. The final time for one mile was 1:36.97.–Alicia Wincze-Hughes
Grade 1, $400,000 First Lady Stakes:
A Raving Beauty returned to her winning ways Oct. 6 after two consecutive losses, running gate-to-wire to take the First Lady. Holding off a late challenge from Dona Bruja, A Raving Beauty won the one-mile turf race by a head in a final time of 1:37.78. The Chad Brown trainee earned a berth in the Nov. 3 Maker's Mark Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf with the win.
"I thought it worked out pretty good," said jockey John Velazquez. "Obviously being on the inside (from post two) we wanted to be close and wanted to make sure she was settling. We came out running, got our position and after that it was pretty good."–Meredith Daugherty
Grade 2, $250,000 Thoroughbred Club of America Stakes:
Juddmonte Farms’ Golden Mischief earned an automatic berth in the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint by taking the TCA Stakes by a hard-fought head over Chalon. A five-horse scrum targeting pacesetter Vertical Oak broke out across the track in early stretch, with Golden Mischief emerging to take a short advantage. The Into Mischief filly proved best in the late going, covering six furlongs in 1:09.39.
"I told (jockey) Florent (Geroux) to try and let her sit off a few horses," trainer Brad Cox said. "I said, 'Don't forget: She's accomplished a lot, but she's not graded stakes-placed, so third is big.' And in the end, she was able to get there and get the victory."–Alicia Wincze-Hughes
Grade 2, $200,000 Woodford Stakes Presented by Keeneland Select:
Popular Indiana-bred Bucchero picked up a repeat win in the Woodford Stakes Saturday, winning by a half-length over Will Call.
"He's very special to us," trainer Tim Glyshaw said. "To have an Indiana-bred come in here for the second year in a row and win on the national stage, that's something we are very proud of. He just became the all-time money-earning (leader) in Indiana history – something that's important to me as well. I just can't thank (owner) Ironhorse Racing Stable for allowing me the opportunity to train him."–Evan Hammonds