Tacos and Trifectas: Breeders' Cup Special

Events / Travel

Welcome to Tacos and Trifectas! Each week, America’s Best Racing’s Southern California correspondent Jose Contreras - @LosPonies to those who follow him on Twitter - will provide a taco review along with a selection that he will key in trifecta bets in hopes of winning some cash to buy more tacos! Contreras will map out a trifecta betting strategy for how to key his main pick and keep track of his return on investment (ROI), which was positive in 2017.

Stop back each week if you love tacos and want a trifecta play!

This week’s eatery:

Casa De Los Ponies: Carne Asada Tacos

Score: ?.?

A special edition of Tacos and Trifectas coming to you directly from Casa de Los Ponies. It’s Breeders’ Cup week and that means there will be plenty of horse racing fans that will be attending this year’s event and even more who will be watching at home. Let’s watch and wager on the Breeders’ Cup while making some homemade carne asada tacos. Fire up that grill, make some tacos and tweet me your score on this recipe. It’s going to be tough to follow up last year’s Breeders’ Cup tacos and trifecta hit of $1,131.70 but let’s give it a try.

Recap of previous wager: Our key horse Secret Message was off slowly, didn’t appear to be comfortable over the track and never really looked like a threat finishing sixth.

This week’s trifecta key:

Friday, Nov. 2

Churchill Downs, Race 8, $1 million Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf, 5:22 p.m. ET

#5 Line of Duty (10-1 odds): He brings a good resume of two wins and two seconds in four career starts. I like that he has progressed in distance and his latest win was at a longer distance than today’s event. He looks to be improving in each start and I liked how he looked winning the Prix de Conde at Chantilly. He was blocked in late stretch but then surged late to win going away with his ears up and appeared to have plenty of good energy past the finish. I like that William Buick has been aboard for both of his wins and keeps the mount here as well. I think he can track the leaders and finish strong in the final turn.

Strategy on $100 Budget:
$1 Trifecta: 5 with 2,4,7,10,12,14 with 2,4,7,10,12,14 ($30)
$1 Trifecta: 2,4,7,10,12,14 with 5 with 2,4,7,10,12,14 ($30)
$1 Trifecta: 2,4,7,10,12,14 with 2,4,7,10,12,14 with 5 ($30)
$10 Win on #5 Line of Duty

Saturday, Nov. 3

Churchill Downs, Race 5, Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile, 1:16 p.m. ET

#9 Giant Expectations (15-1 odds): He’s shown flashes of talent at times and that talent was on display four starts back when he won the San Antonio by three lengths over Accelerate. I like that he’s shown versatility by winning on the lead and also closing from the back of the pack. He ran a better-than-looked third in the Ack Ack Stakes over this track a month ago. He was off very slowly and found himself in last place coming out of the gate. He then made a bold wide move while chasing a very slow pace and got himself into contention for the win but flattened out late to finish third. I think having a race over the track can only help his confidence.

Strategy on $100 Budget:
$1 Trifecta: 9 with 1,3,6,7,8,10 with 1,3,6,7,8,10 ($30)
$1 Trifecta: 1,3,6,7,8,10 with 9 with 1,3,6,7,8,10 ($30)
$1 Trifecta: 1,3,6,7,8,10 with 1,3,6,7,8,10 with 9 ($30)
$10 Win on #9 Giant Expectations

ROI Year to date: $1,580 wagered / $969.20 returned

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