Dan's Double: Veteran Turf Twosome at Gulfstream

Gambling
Channel Cat, shown winning the Bowling Green Stakes last year at Saratoga, is one of two turf runners Dan Tordjman is backing on Saturday’s card at Gulfstream Park. (Susie Raisher/NYRA Photo)

Dan’s Double of the week, featuring handicapping analysis from America’s Best Racing’s New York correspondent Dan Tordjman, is brought to you by Horseplayers.com, the official online qualifying site of the Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge (BCBC) and National Horseplayers Championship (NHC).

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When it comes to making money when handicapping races and betting on horse racing, it’s all about picking winners. Tordjman – DanonymousMan to those who follow him on Twitter – is one of the sharpest horseplayers around.

Each week, Tordjman will provide readers with his two best bets of the weekend and strategies for how to bet them. Good luck!


Saturday, March 28

Gulfstream Park, Race 12, $200,000 Grade 2 Kitten’s Joy Pan American Stakes, 5:26 p.m. ET

weekend Television schedule

Friday, March 27: 1:30-6:30 p.m. ET on FS2; 4-8 p.m. ET on NBCSN; post time varies on TVG

Saturday, March 28: 1:30-7 p.m. ET on FS1; 4-8 p.m. ET on NBCSN; post time varies on TVG

Sunday, March 29: 1:30-2:30 p.m. ET on FS2; 2:30-7 pm. ET on FS1; 4-8 p.m. ET on NBCSN; post time varies on TVG

#1 Channel CatHis no-show performance in the Pegasus World Cup Turf Invitational was completely out of character and quite surprising. While he didn’t have any significant trip trouble, you can make the excuse that rider John Velazquez was perhaps waiting for a hole to open up and that never happened. Looking back on his busy campaign last year plus his debut 2020 start in the Pegasus Turf, this 5-year-old certainly merits a closer look, especially when you consider the company he’s kept. If there was a major impediment that troubled him in his losses last year and in the Pegasus, it was a lack of running room. However, benefiting from his rail draw in this race, he should be able to establish position early. His top performance of 2019 was a wire-to-wire victory in the mile and three-eighths Bowling Green Stakes at Saratoga. I see no reason why Joel Rosario shouldn’t or wouldn’t send him out of the gate and then slow things down up front. If he does, he might very well replicate his Bowling Green win.

$10 Budget 

$4 to win on #1 Channel Cat ($4)

$3 exacta box 1,9 ($6)

$25 Budget 

$4 to win and place on #1 Channel Cat ($8)

$1 trifecta 1,9 with 1,2,9,10 with 1,2,9,10 ($12)

$2 exacta box 1,9 ($4)

$50 Budget

$10 to win and place on #1 Channel Cat ($20)

$1 trifecta 1,9 with 1,2,9,10 with 1,2,9,10 ($12)

$5 exacta box 1,9 ($10)

$2 exacta key box 1 with 2,10 ($8)

Saturday, March 28

Gulfstream Park, Race 13, $100,000 Grade 3 Appleton Stakes, 6 p.m. ET

#8 Dr. Edgar: He’s seven years old now, so maybe he’s lost a step or two coming off of a flat seasonal debut. But I’m willing to take a shot with Dr. Edgar because he’s got plenty of back class and it’s worth noting that he also showed up with a soft effort to kick off his 2019 season before taking off from there. In his second start off the layoff last February, he posted a 94 Beyer Speed Figure and a 106 Equibase Speed Figure in a non-winners of two allowance race. In his start after that, he won this stakes race by a half-length. So, assuming Saturday’s renewal might’ve been the target for trainer Barclay Tagg, and knowing that he’s had success at this level, Dr. Edgar looks to me like one who could legitimately bounce back in this spot. This is also the type of horse on whom I like to see a jockey like Paco Lopez climb aboard. Paco is aggressive, and in Dr. Edgar’s best races, he’s been on the lead. There isn’t much speed in this race, so if Dr. Edgar can get to the lead, he might pull off a bit of an upset.

$10 Budget 

$2 win, place and show on #8 Dr. Edgar ($6)

$1 exacta 1,8 with 1,4,8 ($4)

$25 Budget

$4 win, place and show on #8 Dr. Edgar ($12)

$1 exacta box 1,4,8,10 ($12)

$50 Budget

$5 win, place and show on #8 Dr. Edgar ($15)

$1 exacta box 1,4,8,10 ($12)

$.50 trifecta 1,8 with 1,4,8,10 with 1,3,4,8,10,12 ($12)

$5 double 1,8 with 9 ($10)

Last Week’s Earnings: $0

2020 Earnings: $1,266.90


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