Dan's Double: Upside Potential at Gulfstream Park

Eclipse Sportswire

Dan’s Double of the week, featuring handicapping analysis from America’s Best Racing’s New York correspondent Dan Tordjman, is brought to you by Horseplayers.com, the official online qualifying site of the Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge (BCBC) and National Horseplayers Championship (NHC).

Horseplayers.com offers low-cost feeders every day and BCBC and NHC qualifiers every weekend, and it’s the only site where you can qualify for the $1 million BCBC. It’s free to sign up – click here to get information about registering and how to enter contests.

When it comes to making money when handicapping races and betting on horse racing, it’s all about picking winners. Tordjman – DanonymousMan to those who follow him on Twitter – is one of the sharpest horseplayers around.

Each week, Tordjman will provide readers with his two best bets of the weekend and strategies for how to bet them. Good luck!

Saturday, Feb. 1

Gulfstream Park, Race 10, $100,000 Dania Beach Stakes, 4:34 p.m. ET

#3 Homeland: This colt has superstar potential written all over him. After a flashy debut, he came back to finish second in stakes company last out at Aqueduct. What was most impressive about that race was that Homeland sat off a very slow pace and was the only horse to make a move from the back of the field. He should’ve probably won that race but seemed to flatten out just a touch late and was beaten just a head by Pixelate, a horse who’d had a much better trip throughout. Other positives here include the presence of new rider Jose Ortiz as well as this horse getting Lasix for the first time. Trainer Bill Mott has a ton of success, as many trainers do, when his horses run for the first time on Lasix. Expect another step forward here from a horse who could potentially serve as a late multi-race single.

$10 Budget

$10 to win on #3 Homeland ($10)

$25 Budget

$10 to win on #3 Homeland ($10)

$5 exacta 3 over 6,9 ($10)

$2 exacta 6,9 over 3 ($4)

$50 Budget

$15 to win and place on #3 Homeland ($30)

$1 exacta 3 over 6,9 ($10)

$2 exacta 6,9 over 3 ($4)

$1 trifecta box 3,6,9 ($6)

Gulfstream Park, Race 12, 5:34 p.m. ET

#3 Kingsville: There is a ton of pace signed up for the Saturday finale at Gulfstream. The race also features a couple of bona fide closers who could benefit from a dream setup. The horse with the most upside, in my view, is Kingsville. Not only does he have the second-highest late speed rating in the field, he’ll also be making his first start for trainer Elizabeth Dobles. Her starters have won at nearly a 40% clip when sent out for the first time. This will be Kingsville’s first start in nearly nine months. While there isn’t anything flashy on the work tab, I would not be surprised to see this horse picking off horses late. Rider Victor Lebron got off to a slow start at the meet but he has an excellent 21% win rate over the past month. I’m going to put some win money on this horse and use him in exotics with a couple of the other logical contenders who figure to also benefit from the fast early pace.

$10 Budget

$2 win, place, and show on #3 Kingsville ($6)

$1 exacta 3,12 with 3,11,12 ($4)

$25 Budget

$4 win, place, and show on #3 Kingsville ($12)

$1 exacta box 3,5,11,12 ($4)

$50 Budget

$5 to win, $8 to place, and $10 show on #3 Kingsville ($23)

$1 exacta box 3,5,11,12 ($12)

$.50 trifecta 3,10,12 with 3,5,10,12 with 3,5,10,11,12 ($13.50)

Last Week’s Earnings: $574.20

2020 Earnings: $790.10

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