Best Bets: Trio of Longshot Plays at Fair Grounds

Thoroughbred racing at Fair Grounds. (Eclipse Sportswire)

America’s Best Racing and handicapper (and avid gambler) Monique Vág team up to provide horseplayers with their best bets of the weekend.

Vág will identify her top picks as well as at least one longshot play of the weekend, a nice opportunity to swing for the fences on a win bet or to take a shot with a show bet. She also will occasionally look for strong exacta plays for the weekend or try to spot a nice opportunity for other wagers.

This Weekend’s Bets

Saturday, March 21

weekend Television schedule

Friday, March 20: 1:30-3 p.m. ET on FS2; 3-6:30 p.m. ET on FS1; post time varies on TVG

Saturday, March 21: 1:30-6:30 p.m. ET on FS1; post time varies on TVG

Sunday, March 22: 1:30-6:30 p.m. ET on FS1; post time varies on TVG

Longshot Play

Fair Grounds, Race 9, $400,000 New Orleans Classic Stakes, 4:10 p.m. ET

#8 By My Standards: He looked ultra impressive winning his debut in 2020 by six lengths after nine months away from the track. He was able to capitalize off a perfect stalking trip and opened up so comfortably in the stretch. Expect a similar trip in here as this horse will likely be put into play early drawing towards the outside of the gate. Although this is a super competitive and very deep field, the odds on this runner make a WIN play enticing.

Longshot Play

Fair Grounds, Race 10, $300,000 Muniz Memorial Classic Stakes, 4:42 p.m. ET

#4 Rockemperor: He caught my eye in the Belmont Derby after a late rally out of a very difficult 14 post, narrowly missing after spotting the field as many as 13 lengths early. He went off as favorite last time out in the Saratoga Derby but just didn’t fire late after being sent five-wide.

Saturday he draws a much better post to work with, which could have this one working out another late rally similar to his North American debut. I’m hoping for him to be spotted a little bit closer today out of a much better post draw.

Longshot Play

Fair Grounds, Race 12, $1,000,000 Louisiana Derby, 5:49 p.m. EST

#3 Wells Bayou: He showed some signs of still being green on the front end last time out when finishing second in the Southwest Stakes. Regardless, he still raced very well versus graded stakes company and should be working out a similar trip here today out of an ideal inside post draw. There isn’t a ton of early speed entered, but even if some horses do fire to the front, expect this one to get the jump. He’s certainly capable of winning this contest in gate to wire fashion and has already proven he can carry his speed a very long way.


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