Pigskins and Ponies: NFL Opening Week, Kentucky Downs Play

Gambling
Eclipse Sportswire

If you like betting both football and horse racing, you've come to the right place!

Each week in Pigskins and Ponies you'll find analysis and key football bets from Payne Insider and Todd Fuhrman plus racing picks from Jose Contreras.

Professional bettor Payne Insider and former oddsmaker Todd Fuhrman are founders of Bet the Board, a cutting edge sports betting company focused on written and digital content. You can listen to Bet The Board podcast every Monday, Wednesday, and Thursday during football season on iTunes and Soundcloud.

Handicapper Jose Contreras is an analyst for horse racing network TVG and a regular contributor to America's Best Racing.

Get this week's picks below, and be sure to check back for new selections each week. Happy betting!


Pigskins

Syracuse @ Maryland ML (-120):

This line opened Syracuse -2.5, ticked up to -3, and then we saw a wave of Maryland money enter the market. Syracuse didn’t look great on offense against Liberty, mustering only 5 yards per pass and 4.8 yards per rush; the Orange were out first-downed 18-17, as well. Maryland smoked Howard 79-0, and while Howard is … well, Howard, Josh Jackson and the Terrapins offense looked explosive and quick, both of which we believe can give the Syracuse defense some fits.  We’ll back Maryland here and expect this number to continue towards the “3”.

Coastal Carolina +8 @ Kansas:

Coastal Carolina outplayed Eastern Michigan last week, but couldn’t overcome the four interceptions thrown by quarterback Fred Payton. This week Coastal travels away from Hurricane Dorian to the Midwest to face Les Miles’ Jayhawks team, which is coming off a 24-17 home victory against FCS opponent Indiana State. There has been significant support for the Chanticleers in the market. Coastal Carolina opened 10-point underdogs, have been hit down to +8, and may continue to drop. It’s tough to imagine Kansas being a touchdown favorite over anyone, and Coastal should be able to move the chains if they can take care of the football. Coastal Carolina as an underdog of more than a touchdown should get you to the window.

Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles UNDER 23 First Half

As much firepower as this Eagles offense has, Carson Wentz hasn’t played a down this preseason, so it’s tough to envision Philadelphia’s offense starting fast against the Greg Manusky Redskins defense. On the other side of the ball, Washington is really hurting along the offensive line with Pro-Bowl tackle Trent Williams out, and the Eagles get back some of their injured starters (Fletcher Cox and Ronald Darby). Even without those pieces, it’s tough to see Washington scoring consistently in this game. We’ll go First-Half Under, in case the Eagles offense opens up late in the game.

Los Angeles Rams @ Carolina Panthers +3 (-120):  

Carolina opened +3, and we have seen some professional money come in on the home underdog. The Panthers win total went from 7.5 (-110) out to 8 (-150) to the over, and digging into this team, we can see why. The defensive line is stacked with talent (McCoy, Short, Poe), and Brian Burns could have an immediate impact. Jared Goff just signed a monster contract, but that won’t change his poor decision-making and throws under pressure. As mentioned on Bet the Board Podcast this week, Goff completed 43% of his attempts when the heat was on last season. Carolina’s offense should have some new wrinkles with the resurgence of Cam Newton’s arm, and we believe they can win in the trenches on both sides of the ball.

Denver Broncos +1 @ Oakland Raiders:

Most of the positive impact for Denver this off-season came in the way of a new coaching staff. Vic Fangio takes over a very talented defense with key players at premium positions in 2019, like defensive end and cornerback. On the other side of the ball, offensive line coach Mike Munchak comes over from Pittsburgh looking to immediately improve this big-and-physical Broncos offensive line. Joe Flacco should be able to manage the Denver offense this week to allow Denver to win the trenches on both sides of the ball. Oakland continues to have Antonio Brown drama with his most recent $54,000 fine, and while the Raiders should be improved, this team still has a major talent void across the board. We strongly agree with the move off +2.5, and it’s time to take Denver before they become the favorite.

BEST BET: [363] Coastal Carolina +8


Ponies

For this series, I will be looking for one key horse to single in a Pick 3 in hopes of cashing a profitable exotic wager. The budget will be in the $20 range and I will keep track of ROI each week. This week’s key horse:

Saturday, Sept. 7

Kentucky Downs, Race 8, Three Chimneys Ladies Turf Stakes, 5:28 p.m. ET

#2 Simply Breathless: She found herself racing closer to the lead and didn’t appear to have the same amount of kick to go on. She was also racing farther than what she had done in her two previous starts, and I think she’s going to enjoy getting back to a mile. Three starts ago, she looked sharp when winning in her first start of the year with plenty left and then she followed that up with a strong victory in the Grade 3 Wilshire Stakes at Santa Anita.

$1 Pick-3 ticket:

Race 8: 2

Race 9: 3,4,6,7,10

Race 10: 5,9,10,11

Total: $20

Total Wagered: $40

Total Returned: $0

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