Pigskins and Ponies: NFL Division Battles, Remington Pick 3

Gambling

If you like betting both football and horse racing, you've come to the right place!

Each week in Pigskins and Ponies you'll find analysis and key football bets from Payne Insider and Todd Fuhrman plus racing picks from Jose Contreras.

Professional bettor Payne Insider and former oddsmaker Todd Fuhrman are founders of Bet the Board, a cutting edge sports betting company focused on written and digital content. You can listen to Bet The Board podcast every Monday, Wednesday, and Thursday during football season on iTunes and Soundcloud.

Handicapper Jose Contreras is an analyst for horse racing network TVG and a regular contributor to America's Best Racing.

Get this week's picks below, and be sure to check back for new selections each week. Happy betting!


Pigskins

Philadelphia @ Washington +4.5:

Philadelphia is down to its last healthy wide receiver, and will most likely be without their best tackle Lane Johnson when they visit the Redskins Sunday. The Birds were -6 prior to their MNF game against the Giants, and we’ve seen the market drop to -4.5. Is that enough? With limited playmakers and a defense that’s somehow trended downward over the past two games versus below-average offenses, why should Philadelphia be garnering this much respect in the market? With every start, Dwayne Haskins gets a bit more comfortable, and it will probably only take 14-17 points for Washington to stay within the number.  

Houston +3 @ Tennessee:

We touched briefly on Tennessee’s deficiencies in the secondary last week, and Derek Carr completed 73% of his passes for 7.7 yards per pass attempt and two touchdowns. In comes the dynamic Texans offense with a slew of weapons looking to remove the bad taste from their mouth after a bad home loss to Denver. FoxBet.com opened this game Tennessee -3, moved to -3 (-120) before money on Houston at a reduced “3” entered the market. Unlike the Titans, the Texans have faced a much more difficult slate of opposing offenses, so there will be no shock to the system with this Titans unit. In what should be a high-scoring affair, take the points with Houston as they look to bottle up Derrick Henry with their above-average rush defense.

Atlanta @ San Francisco Over 46.5 (-115):

The 49ers offense is humming with all of their key pieces back, while the defensive side of the ball took a couple hits this past weekend with the injuries to Richard Sherman and Dee Ford. It’s tough to find an area where San Francisco’s offense doesn’t have an advantage against Atlanta’s 31st-ranked passing defense.  On the other side, QB Matt Ryan should have a chance to have success through the air as the Falcons try and keep pace with the 49ers. Yes, Calvin Ridley is out. Yes, Shanahan knows everything about Matt Ryan. But this number moved off the 45 for a reason, and we believe it’s going to soar much higher.

Minnesota @ Los Angeles Chargers Over 44.5 (-110):

This total opened 46 at Fox Bet, and immediately was hit down to the current number. We’re going to go against that early move and looking over here. With two offenses Top 10 in efficiency going up against defenses that don’t rank inside the Top 20 in defensive pass and rush success rate, we have a chance to see the scoreboard light up here. Minnesota has greatly underachieved on this side of the football, and Los Angeles, with a healthy array of weapons has the tools to put up some points.  The Vikings will be getting back Adam Thielen, whose return will immediately help this offense continue to push the ball down the field. Go over 44.5 as we expect this number to climb closer to the key of 47 by kickoff.

Best Bet: [313] Houston Texans +3


Ponies

For this series, I will be looking for one key horse to single in a Pick 3 in hopes of cashing a profitable exotic wager. The budget will be in the $20 range and will keep track of ROI each week. This week’s key horse:

Sunday, Dec. 15

Remington Park, Race 12, $400,000 Remington Springboard Mile Stakes, 9:19 p.m. ET

#4 Answer In: This gelding made short work of his rivals last time out when winning by 5 1/4 lengths at Churchill Downs. He ran a big effort in defeat two starts ago when losing by a nose after a slow start. There looks to be lots of talent in the tank for this juvenile, and I think he’s going to make plenty of noise as a 3-year-old. He’s stretching out to a mile for the first time, but I like that his most recent effort was at seven furlongs. There are other runners in this field that have raced farther against graded stakes company. I think that might be just enough of a reason to still get somewhat of a fair price on Answer In, considering he’s never raced at this distance and this will be his first start against winners.

$1 Pick 3 ticket:

Race 11: 3,5,6,10,11

Race 12: 4

Race 13: 5,10,11,12

Total: $20

Total Wagered: $280

Total Returned: $44.75


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