Dan’s Double: A Well-Spotted Duo at Santa Anita

Fans cheer at Santa Anita Park while the horses race through the stretch. (Penelope P. Miller/America's Best Racing)

Dan’s Double of the Week, featuring handicapping analysis from America’s Best Racing’s New York correspondent Dan Tordjman, is brought to you by Horseplayers.com, the official online qualifying site of the Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge (BCBC) and National Horseplayers Championship (NHC).

Horseplayers.com offers low-cost feeders every day and BCBC and NHC qualifiers every weekend, and it’s the only site where you can qualify for the $1 million BCBC. It’s free to sign up – click here to get information about registering and how to enter contests.

When it comes to making money when handicapping races and betting on horse racing, it’s all about picking winners. Tordjman – DanonymousMan to those who follow him on Twitter – is one of the sharpest horseplayers around.

Each week, Tordjman will provide readers with his two best bets of the weekend and strategies for how to bet them. Good luck!

Saturday, Sept. 28

Santa Anita Park, Race 3, 4:30 p.m. ET

#7 Liar Liar (IRE): This horse makes his first U.S. start after a sprint on wet turf in Ireland back in April. He has an older half-sister named Pantsonfire (not the Kentucky Derby runner from 2011) who had a lot of success on the turf at Santa Anita after shipping over from Ireland a few years ago. Like that horse, Liar Liar is in the barn of trainer Richard Baltas. He wins at a solid 20% clip with 2-year-old starters on the turf making their second career start and he’s in the money with more than 50% of them in turf routes.

Strategy on a $10 Budget 

$2 win, place on #7 Liar Liar ($4)

$1 exacta 7,8 with 2,6,7,8 ($6)

Strategy on a $25 Budget 

$4 win, place on #7 Liar Liar ($8)

$1 exacta box: 2,6,7,8 ($12)

$5 exacta 7 with 8 ($5)

Strategy on a $50 Budget 

$10 win and $8 to place on #7 Liar Liar ($18)

$1 exacta box: 2,6,7,8 ($12)

$1 trifecta 7 with 2,6,8,10 with 2,4,6,8,9,10 ($20)

Santa Anita Park, Race 9, $300,000 Rodeo Drive Stakes, 7:41 p.m. ET

#3 Elysea’s World: I absolutely love this horse in this spot. Earlier this year, she posted a career-best (and race best) 115 Equibase Speed Figure going this same 1 ¼-mile distance at Santa Anita. The last few races have left a bit to be desired, but she didn’t get ideal trips in either race, especially in the Yellow Ribbon when she was too far back — and sitting off of a pace that was way too slow. We’re going back to trainer Richard Baltas here who (thanks to some quick research on STATS Race Lens) has won with one out of every three starters he’s had in turf graded stakes going long in their third start off a layoff. This mare is also working extremely well and gets the services of California’s top turf jockey, Flavien Prat.

Strategy on a $10 Budget 

$5 to win, place on #3 Elysea’s World ($10)

Strategy on a $25 Budget 

$15 to win and $10 to place on #3 Elysea’s World ($25)

Strategy on a $50 Budget 

$25 to win, place on #3 Elysea’s World ($50)

Last Week’s Earnings: $0

Year-to-Date Earnings: $5,218.01

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