Dan's Double: Room for Improvement at Del Mar

Gambling
Eclipse Sportswire

Dan’s Double of the Week, featuring handicapping analysis from America’s Best Racing’s New York correspondent Dan Tordjman, is brought to you by Horseplayers.com, the official online qualifying site of the Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge (BCBC) and National Horseplayers Championship (NHC).

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When it comes to making money when handicapping races and betting on horse racing, it’s all about picking winners. Tordjman – DanonymousMan to those who follow him on Twitter – is one of the sharpest horseplayers around.

Each week, Tordjman will provide readers with his two best bets of the weekend and strategies for how to bet them. Good luck!


Saturday, Nov 23

Del Mar, Race 5, 5:30 p.m. ET

#1 Swing Thoughts (4-1): This filly seems to be well positioned to run her best over what might be her preferred course and distance. She was claimed out of a dirt race going six furlongs just last Sunday and wheels back here while returning to the turf for new trainer Bob Hess. I read that as Swing Thoughts’ new barn being pleased with her fitness at the moment, while recognizing that she ran her best career race here over the turf at Del Mar in August. She went a mile and a sixteenth there (she’ll be stretching out from six furlongs to a mile on Saturday) and beat similar company while posting a 96 Equibase Speed Figure and 78 Beyer Speed Figure. Numbers like that would put her in position to finish no worse than second against these. If she’s as fit as she was back then — and the quick wheel-back would suggest she is — Swing Thoughts should represent herself really well here.

$10 Budget 

$2 win and place on #1 Swing Thoughts ($4)

$1 exacta box 1,8,10 ($6)

$25 Budget

$5 win and place on #1 Swing Thoughts ($10)

$1 exacta box 1,8,10 ($6)

$1 exacta 5 with 1,8,10 ($3)

$1 trifecta box 1,8,10 ($6)

$50 Budget

$10 win and place on #1 Swing Thoughts ($20)

$1 exacta box 1,5,8,10 ($12)

$1 trifecta box 1,8,10 ($6)

$1 trifecta 1,5 with 1,5,8,10 with 1,5,8,10 ($12)


Del Mar, Race 6, 6 p.m. ET

#9 Snap Chap (5-1): Most of the betting action should come for #7 Garth. He’s a 2-year-old son of Into Mischief who comes in with a few races under his belt for trainer Bob Baffert. Though he was well-beaten last out, the race in which he was last seen was the Grade 1 Del Mar Futurity. Prior to that, he was beaten by just a length and a half at this level — the horse he lost to was eventual Breeders’ Cup Juvenile winner Storm the Court. That said, I’ll take the other horse in here with that positive win-early Into Mischief pedigree, #9 Snap Chap. OXO Equine paid $1.2 million for him last year and he comes him with a good looking work tab. Trainer Don Chatlos gets Hall of Famer Mike Smith to take the mount on this horse. The only other 2-year-old Smith has been on for Chatlos was Mundaye Call — a starter in a race just like this last weekend — and he won.

$10 Budget

$2 win and place on #9 Snap Chap ($4)

$1 trifecta 7,9 with 7,9 with 3,4,5 ($6)

$25 Budget

$5 win and place on #9 Snap Chap ($10)

$1 trifecta 7,9 with 7,9 with 3,4,5 ($6)

$4 exacta box 7,9 ($8)

$50 Budget

$10 win and place on #9 Snap Chap ($20)

$2 trifecta 7,9 with 7,9 with 3,4,5 ($12)

$1 trifecta 5,7 with 5,7,9 with 3,5,7,9 ($8)

$5 exacta box 7,9 ($10)

Last Week’s Earnings: $91.40

Year-to-Date Earnings: $7,000.27

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