Dan's Double: Local Star Sprinter, Upside Play on Breeders' Cup Saturday

Gambling
Eclipse Sportswire

Dan’s Double of the Week, featuring handicapping analysis from America’s Best Racing’s New York correspondent Dan Tordjman, is brought to you by Horseplayers.com, the official online qualifying site of the Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge (BCBC) and National Horseplayers Championship (NHC).

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Each week, Tordjman will provide readers with his two best bets of the weekend and strategies for how to bet them. Good luck!


Saturday, Nov. 2

Santa Anita Park, Race 5, $1 million Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint

#10 Eddie Haskell: Five of the last seven winners of this race were stabled in California. If you can find a locally-based runner who has excelled at this five-furlong distance, you’ve probably got something of a contender for this turf sprint — and I think the horse who best fits the profile is Eddie Haskell. With nine wins from 14 starts going five furlongs on the turf (in the money in all 14) Eddie Haskell won three in a row at this distance earlier this summer. In the Eddie D Stakes, he was a mile the best despite finishing second in the race. He was forced to take up sharply on the rail and lost about four to five lengths in the process. He possesses a wicked turn of foot and if he can get clear running without much trip trouble, he’s going to be flying past them late.

$10 Budget

$2 win and place on #10 Eddie Haskell ($4)

$1 exacta box 3,10,12 ($6)

$25 Budget

$4 win, place and show on #10 Eddie Haskell ($12)

$1 exacta box 3,4,10,12 ($12)

$50 Budget

$8 win, place and show on #10 Eddie Haskell ($24)

$1 exacta box 3,4,10,12 ($12)

$.50 trifecta 3,10 with 3,4,5,10,12 with 3,4,5,10,12 ($12)

Santa Anita Park, Race 10, $2 million Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff

#5 Dunbar Road: I didn’t initially think I’d be picking against Midnight Bisou. The only possible knock on her is that a mile and an eighth is probably not her best distance. My thinking here, however, falls more along the lines of believing that we’ve seen the best of Bisou (and it’s pretty spectacular) whereas there’s still such a high ceiling for the lightly-raced Dunbar Road. Last out in the Spinster Stakes at Keeneland, it looked like it got a little tight on the inside a couple of times for her. She still had every chance to win and, had she, it would’ve likely made her the logical second choice in this race. Still, it was an absolutely spectacular effort against not only older Grade 1 horses for the first time but specifically against the likes of Elate and Blue Prize. That was also just her first time at a mile and an eighth. She should learn from that effort and could be extremely dangerous here with an ideal draw. I also find it interesting that Jose Ortiz lands here. He could’ve obviously ridden Kentucky Oaks winner Serengeti Empress but instead opted for the mount on Dunbar Road.

$10 Budget

$2 win, place and show on #5 Dunbar Road ($6)

$2 exacta box 4,5 ($4)

$25 Budget

$4 win, place and show on #5 Dunbar Road ($12)

$3 exacta box 4,5 ($6)

$.50 trifecta 4,5 with 1,2,4,5 with 1,2,4,5 ($6)

$50 Budget

$15 win, $10 place and $5 to show on #5 Dunbar Road ($30)

$4 exacta box 4,5 ($8)

$1 trifecta 4,5 with 1,2,4,5 with 1,2,4,5 ($12)

Last Week’s Earnings: $572

Year-to-Date Earnings: $6,769.97

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