Dan's Double: Intriguing Turf Pair at Monmouth

Gambling
Penelope P. Miller/America's Best Racing

Dan’s Double of the Week, featuring handicapping analysis from America’s Best Racing’s New York correspondent Dan Tordjman, is brought to you by Horseplayers.com, the official online qualifying site of the Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge (BCBC) and National Horseplayers Championship (NHC).

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When it comes to making money when handicapping races and betting on horse racing, it’s all about picking winners. Tordjman – DanonymousMan to those who follow him on Twitter – is one of the sharpest horseplayers around.

Each Week, Tordjman will provide readers with his two best bets of the weekend and strategies for how to bet them. Good luck!


Saturday, July 20, Monmouth Park, Race 5, $150,000 Oceanport Stakes, 1:51 p.m. ET

#6 Just Howard: At first glance, this looks like a race that goes through Divisidero. Although he hasn’t often found himself in the winner’s circle over the past few years, Divisidero’s one race here was good one (he was second in the Grade 2 Monmouth Stakes last May). My play against him, though, is going to be Just Howard. He’s finished behind Divisidero a few times over the years but he looks like he’s rounded back into form in his last couple of tries – Just Howard posted a 108 and 107 Equibase Speed Figure in those two races, which is on par with Divisidero’s last few. Just Howard was also beaten less than a length by Catholic Boy in the Dixie Stakes, in spite of a tough trip in that one. This just feels like the right spot for Just Howard to finally break through.

Strategy on a $10 Budget 

$10 to win on #6 Just Howard ($10)

Strategy on a $25 Budget 

$15 to win on #6 Just Howard ($15)

$5 exacta box 1,6 ($10)

Strategy on a $50 Budget  

$20 to win on #6 Just Howard ($20)

$5 exacta box 1,6 ($10)

$10 exacta 6 with 1,5 ($20)

Saturday, July 20, Monmouth Park, Race 11, $150,000 WinStar Matchmaker Stakes, 5:06 p.m. ET

#4 Touriga: This is again another spot where there’s two horses on paper who look like class standouts but where I’ll take a swing with a horse who could be anything. Valedictorian and Competitionofideas are both strong players in the Matchmaker from a class perspective, especially the latter who was the victim of a wide trip last out when coming up just short of Homerique. But Touriga is an interesting play here in her first U.S. start for Graham Motion. She’s won Group 1 and Group 2 races in Brazil. Motion has won with nearly 30% of horses shipping in from overseas and making their first start on the turf for him stateside. Touriga may go off at a decent enough price too.

Strategy on a $10 Budget 

$4 win and place on #4 Touriga ($8)

$1 exacta box 4,6 ($2)

Strategy on a $25 Budget 

$4 win and place on #4 Touriga ($8)

$2 exacta box 4,6 ($4)

$1 trifecta key 4 over 1,3,6,7 ($12)

Strategy on a $50 Budget 

$10 win and place on #4 Touriga ($20)

$5 exacta box 4,6 ($10)

$1 trifecta key 4 over 1,3,6,7 ($12)

$1 trifecta 3,6 with 3,6 with 1,2,4,7 ($8)

Last Week’s Earnings: $316.35

Year-to-Date Earnings: $3,453.16

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