Dan’s Double: Bankroll-Boosting Laurel Park Plays

Gambling
Penelope P. Miller/America's Best Racing

Dan’s Double of the Week, featuring handicapping analysis from America’s Best Racing’s New York correspondent Dan Tordjman, is brought to you by Horseplayers.com, the official online qualifying site of the Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge (BCBC) and National Horseplayers Championship (NHC).

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When it comes to making money when handicapping races and betting on horse racing, it’s all about picking winners. Tordjman – DanonymousMan to those who follow him on Twitter – is one of the sharpest horseplayers around.

Each week, Tordjman will provide readers with his two best bets of the weekend and strategies for how to bet them. Good luck!


Saturday, Nov. 16

Laurel Park, Race 5, 2:18 p.m. ET

#2 Mandette: This filly’s form is a bit inconsistent at first glance. However, she’s shown enough in recent starts to suggest she’s optimally positioned to run a big race going long on the dirt at Laurel on Saturday. Her debut race over a soft turf course can be ignored. Take a look at her first start on the dirt in June. She posted a career-best Equibase Speed Figure (83) and Beyer Speed Figure (77) in that race. She’d been competitive but flattened out late in her last two, so I like the addition of blinkers here by Kelly Rubley in an effort to get the filly to focus on the wire late. The blinkers might also mean more early speed from this horse who’s perfectly drawn to get to the lead, if she wants it. Rubley’s “blinkers-on” strike rate is 31% too. Also note that out of Mandette’s last race at Penn National (in which she finished second) the first and third-place finishers came back to win.

$10 Budget 

$2 win and place on #2 Mandette ($4)

$1 exacta box 2,5,6 ($6)

$25 Budget 

$4 win, place and show on #2 Mandette ($12)

$2 exacta box 2,5,6 ($12)

$50 Budget 

$8 win, place and show on #2 Mandette ($24)

$2 exacta box 2,5,6 ($12)

$1 trifecta 2,5 with 2,5,6,9 with 2,5,6,9 ($12)


Saturday, Nov. 16

Laurel Park, Race 7, $100,000 Warrior’s Reward Smart Halo Stakes, 3:20 p.m. ET 

#5 Still Alive: If this were a week ago, I would have advised against picking a horse like Still Alive, who’ll be coming from off the pace; the track had been playing very favorably to speed horses but it has seemed to even out in recent race days. With that in mind – and with a whole lot of speed signed up for this race – I think there’s a really strong chance that Still Alive gets a dream setup. This filly ships in from Pennsylvania for trainer Guadalupe Preciado who’s won with six of 18 starters over the dirt at Laurel over the past few years, and he’s hit the board with 44% of his runners. Look for #1 Letsstaypositive to gun it from the gate and for her to get a considerable amount of pace pressure from #2 Cofactor, #6 Summer Fortune and #8 Ilchester Cheetah. Sitting off of them should be #5 Still Alive and #3 Lucky Trinity. I decided to go with the former because she has a bit more experience.

$10 Budget 

$2 win, place and show on #5 Still Alive ($6)

$2 exacta box 3,5 ($4)

$25 Budget

$4 win, place and show on #5 Still Alive ($12)

$2 exacta box 2,3,5 ($12)

$50 Budget 

$8 win, place and show on #5 Still Alive ($24)

$2 exacta box 2,3,5 ($12)

$1 trifecta 5 with 2,3 with all ($14)

Last Week’s Earnings: $138.90

Year-to-Date Earnings: $6,908.87

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