Belle's Best Bets: Thanksgiving Weekend Picks at Churchill and Woodbine

Gambling
Eclipse Sportswire

America’s Best Racing, Belle Premium American Vodka, and handicapper (and avid gambler) Monique Vág team up to provide horseplayers with their best bets of the weekend.

Vág will identify her top picks as well as at least one longshot play of the weekend, a nice opportunity to swing for the fences on a win bet or to take a shot with a show bet. She also will occasionally look for strong exacta plays for the weekend or try to spot a nice opportunity for other wagers.

Belle Premium American Vodka is the official vodka of America’s Best Racing. The American-made, American-owned vodka is distilled in Virginia, the birthplace of Thoroughbred breeding and racing in North America. The company’s mascot, Belle ‘n Tonic, broke her maiden at Laurel Park in Maryland in April 2018.

This Weekend’s Bets

Saturday, Nov. 30

Longshot Play

Churchill Downs, Race 5, 2:57 p.m. ET

#12 Casanova Kitten: Although this colt has not made his racing debut yet, there haven’t been a lot of impressive performances thus far out of other horses in this race. This colt is well-bred for the distance and it is difficult to ignore the numbers Wesley Ward has with first time starters (28% wins), and 19% with horses making their turf debut.

Longshot Play

Woodbine, Race 5, 3:06 p.m. ET

#10 Bells of War: She got out a bit slower on her first try racing over the all-weather surface and was never a factor. Blinkers added today could be a good addition to help with a little bit quicker of a break as I think she needs to leave the gate with some urgency out of the extreme outside post. With a lot of fillies making their racing debut, her experience may come in handy.

Longshot Play

Woodbine, Race 7, 4:05 p.m. ET

#1 Hell N Wild: Her success over the all-weather surface has been good enough to warrant my top honors over some of the shorter prices. She makes her second start with new trainer Simon Stuart and should relish the post relief instead of having to start from the extreme outside. With her early speed, I would not be surprised to see this filly on the front end dictating the tempo in a field lacking speed.

Best Bet

Churchill Downs, Race 11, $300,000 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes, 5:56 p.m. ET

#3 Tiz the LawHe looked so impressive in his maiden-breaking score that connections tried his luck right away against Grade 1 competition in the Champagne. He made light work of both fields, despite getting out of the gate a tad bit slow and stumbling at the start. Expect him to be positioned well just behind the pacesetters early. The price will be short, but his two efforts have been very impressive.

Sports Pick of the Weekend

Sunday, Dec. 1

NFL:  Green Bay Packers @ New York Giants

PICK: Under 46 (-110):  Aaron Rodgers is coming off one of the worst games of his career after losing 37-8 to the 49ers on the road last week. The Giants were outscored 16-0 in the third quarter after leading 7-3 entering the quarter. Neither team has looked very good on offense with the Giants averaging less than 20 points a game, and the Packers have struggled recently on the road. Don’t expect a lot of offense.

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