Stay Lucky Guide: Shining Stars Abound on Holiday Weekend


Welcome to the 2018 Stay Lucky season! You will notice new prizes and smoother performance for the new season, along with presenting sponsor Equestricon!

If you’re reading this, chances are you’ve downloaded the app and are ready to start picking winners. If you have not yet downloaded Stay Lucky, what are you waiting for?

Get the iOS version of the app here.

The Android version of the app on Google Play can be downloaded here.

Stay Lucky offers participants the opportunity to win great prizes by stringing together winners in Thoroughbred races. Unbroken streaks of five, seven, nine, 14, 17 and 20 reward the players with a prize or choice of prizes. Terms and conditions apply.

The object is simple: pick winners from North American graded stakes races that draw at least six entrants. Races will be scored in real time but streaks will be updated only once daily to make sure they are scored in the correct order.

Pick as many races each weekend as you like, but be sure to play at least one race every weekend or your streak will be reset.

This week’s schedule is highlighted by the Risen Star Stakes Presented by Lamarque Ford on Feb. 17 at Fair Grounds. The Risen Star is a Road to the Kentucky Derby points race. Also included in this week’s guide are the President’s Day races on Monday, Feb. 19, headlined by the Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn Park. Please remember, it you have a streak intact, you must pick a race on Saturday or Sunday. The races on Monday count for the following week for players with active streaks who must meet the one selection per week requirement.

Saturday, Feb. 17

Mineshaft Handicap (4:05 p.m. ET): Cedartown (#1) is in terrific form and was pegged as the 8-5 morning-line favorite off a stakes win at Fair Grounds, where he defeated this race’s 5-2 second choice The Player (#5) and 6-1 third-choice Scuba (#3). I think The Player will run a much better race, but Cedartown is at his best and will be tough to beat. Note: Cedartown has been scrated.

General George Stakes (4:30 p.m. ET): Multiple Grade 1-placed Awesome Banner (#2) is the clear class of the field. He can be hit or miss, but he looked like he regained his top form in winning at this track on Jan. 20. The runner-up in that race, It’s the Journey (#4), looks like a real danger to turn the tables here at a distance where he’s won two of three starts.

Barbara Fritchie Stakes (5 p.m. ET): This is a very competitive race with a number of entrants in terrific form. I really like the direction Divine Miss Grey (#1) is headed and I think she gets a perfect stalking trip just behind the speed from the inside post.

Rachel Alexandra Stakes (5:05 p.m. ET): Monomoy Girl (#8) is the 8-5 morning-line favorite, but she faces a serious threat from a couple of challengers, including highly regarded Wonder Gadot (#4). Monomoy Girl also has not raced in 2 ½ months and should face pressure for the lead. I’m looking elsewhere.

Fair Grounds Handicap (5:35 p.m. ET): Mr. Misunderstood (#6) has won five straight races and is 3-for-3 on this turf course. Catcho En Die (#12) scares me a bit in his second U.S. start for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott, but I think Mr. Misunderstood rates a strong play.

Risen Star Stakes presented by Lamarque Ford (6:03 p.m. ET): Instilled Regard (#5) is my early pick for the 2018 Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve, so I think he’s the best in here. One word of caution, though, is I think Principe Guilherme (#9), second to Instilled Regard in the Grade 3 Lecomte Stakes on Jan. 13, will take a step forward here. I don’t see any other entrants and major threats, but Principe Guilherme is eligible to improve.

Buena Vista Stakes (6 p.m. ET): This is another nice race that drew the top three finishers from the Grade 3 Megahertz Stakes on Jan. 15 at the same distance/course. Winner Madame Stripes (#4) earned a new career-top and field-best 117 Equibase Speed Figure for that effort, but I could see four or five different horses win this race, so I’ll pass.

Bayakoa Stakes (6:09 p.m. ET): Farrell (#3) is 4-for-4 at this distance and recently won in her first try on the Oaklawn Park main track. She seems to have regained the elite form that carried her to four straight wins before she came up empty in the Kentucky Oaks stretch. Streamline (#4) and Terra Promessa (#6) both love this track and distance, too, but I give Farrell the slight nod.

Sunday, Feb. 18

Las Flores Stakes (7 p.m. ET): Skye Diamonds (#5) looks like a solid play this week. She has competed against better competition and more than held her own. She's also 5-for-11 at Santa Anita and 2-for-4 at this distance.

Monday, Feb. 19 (NOTE: Races count for following week for players with active streaks)

Royal Delta Stakes (5:16 p.m. ET): This race drew eight horses and six of them were listed at between 5-2 and 8-1 on the morning line. I would avoid this race if I had a streak intact.

Razorback Handicap (5:35 p.m. ET): This race features four horses who previously raced in the Kentucky Derby: Untrapped (#1), J Boys Echo (#4), and Sonneteer (#6) competed in the 2017 run for the roses and Far Right (#2) ran in the 2015 Kentucky Derby. This one looks wide open to me but I’ll take a shot with Sonneteer if my streak is sitting at zero.

Southwest Stakes (6:10 p.m. ET): Mourinho (#4) looked terrific in winning the Smarty Jones Stakes at this track on Jan. 15, but this races features much, much more speed and he will not be permitted to set another uncontested pace. It’s also a deeper field and should present a significant challenge. I’m looking elsewhere unless my streak is at zero, in which case I’ll fire away.

Mike’s Top 2 Stay Lucky Plays 

(Three winners from six top plays in 2018)

1.  Mr. Misunderstood (Fair Grounds Handicap)

2. Skye Diamonds (Las Flores Stakes)

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