Stay Lucky Guide: Pair of Key Plays on Light Weekend

Gambling

Welcome to the 2018 Stay Lucky season! You will notice new prizes and smoother performance for the new season, along with presenting sponsor Equestricon!

If you’re reading this, chances are you’ve downloaded the app and are ready to start picking winners. If you have not yet downloaded Stay Lucky, what are you waiting for?

Get the iOS version of the app here.

The Android version of the app on Google Play can be downloaded here.

Stay Lucky offers participants the opportunity to win great prizes by stringing together winners in Thoroughbred races. Unbroken streaks of five, seven, nine, 14, 17 and 20 reward the players with a prize or choice of prizes. Terms and conditions apply.

The object is simple: pick winners from North American graded stakes races that draw at least six entrants. Races will be scored in real time but streaks will be updated only once daily to make sure they are scored in the correct order.

Pick as many races each weekend as you like, but be sure to play at least one race every weekend or your streak will be reset.

This weekend features a light schedule with two races each at Delaware Park and Indiana Grand, plus one on Sunday at Woodbine.


Saturday, July 14

Kent Stakes (4:45 p.m. ET): My instinct is to lock in Untamed Domain (#5) as a key play and move on. He’s the best horse in the field at his best, but the problem is he’s been pretty inconsistent. Carrick (#1), Hot Springs (#2), Duc de Calas (#3), and Gunnison (#4) all enter look promising off consecutive victories and West Coast invader Blame the Rider (#8) has been very good since switching to the grass. Add in Archaggelos (#7), a half-brother to dual classic winner Big Brown from the barn of the “mad genius” Michael Dickinson and you have the makings of a great betting race … but a pass for me for Stay Lucky.

Delaware Handicap (5:15 p.m. ET): The most important element for the Del ’Cap is the 1 ¼-mile distance. It’s a taxing distance for female racehorses and for that reason I landed on Elate (#6), who was a dominant winner in her only race at this distance and boasts a terrific pedigree. In fact, she is the only one with a win at 1 ¼ miles. She has not raced since finishing fourth in last year’s Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff, which is a significant concern, but she is good enough to win even if she falls just shy of an “A” effort here.

Indiana Oaks (9:01 p.m. ET): Although she has won only once in four career starts, Talk Veuve to Me (#5) figures to be the favorite off a runner-up finish to 3-year-old filly division leader Monomoy Girl in the Grade 1 Acorn Stakes on June 9. Prior to that, she ran second in a Grade 2 at Churchill Downs. That said, she faces several formidable challengers here and the 1 1/16 miles might be stretching her distance limitations. She’s the pick but I don’t think she’s a lock by any stretch.

Indiana Derby (9:48 p.m. ET): I loved what I saw from King Zachary (#8) in his 4 ¾-length runaway in the Grade 3 Matt Winn Stakes on June 16. He has the look of a late-developing 3-year-old on the rise and this looks like a perfect spot for him.

Sunday, July 15

Ontario Matron Stakes (5 p.m. ET): Gamble’s Ghost (#7) is the 2-1 morning-line favorite and it’s tough to knock her credentials — she has won eight of 12 starts on synthetic surfaces and five of six at this 1 1/16-mile distance. I think second choice Let It Ride Mom (#9) and third choice Moonlit Promise (#2), a pair of top synthetic sprinters stretching out with a win at this distance, both have a big shot in here. Unless I go into Sunday with my streak at zero, I’ll pass on this race.

Mike’s Top 2 Stay Lucky Plays

(24 winners from 64 top plays in 2018)

1. King Zachary (Indiana Derby)

2. Elate (Delaware Handicap)

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