Stay Lucky Guide: Eye on Prize at Oaklawn


Welcome to the 2018 Stay Lucky season! You will notice new prizes and smoother performance for the new season, along with presenting sponsor Equestricon!

If you’re reading this, chances are you’ve downloaded the app and are ready to start picking winners. If you have not yet downloaded Stay Lucky, what are you waiting for?

Get the iOS version of the app here.

The Android version of the app on Google Play can be downloaded here.

Stay Lucky offers participants the opportunity to win great prizes by stringing together winners in Thoroughbred races. Unbroken streaks of five, seven, nine, 14, 17 and 20 reward the players with a prize or choice of prizes. Terms and conditions apply.

The object is simple: pick winners from North American graded stakes races that draw at least six entrants. Races will be scored in real time but streaks will be updated only once daily to make sure they are scored in the correct order.

Pick as many races each weekend as you like, but be sure to play at least one race every weekend or your streak will be reset.

This week’s schedule is highlighted by a pair of Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve prep races: the $900,000 Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn Park and the $200,000 Jeff Ruby Steaks at Turfway Park.

Saturday, March 17

Inside Information Stakes (5:04 p.m. ET): I landed on Moonlit Promise (#3) here after she took the lead but tired late in her first try on dirt in the Grade 3 Hurricane Bertie Stakes on Jan. 27. I think she’ll be on or near a much less taxing pace in this race and should have something left for the stretch run in her second start on this track at this distance. She had won three straight before the Hurricane Bertie.

DRF Bets Bourbonette Oaks (5:14 p.m. ET): Consolida (#2) was impressive in winning her U.S. debut in the California Oaks on Feb. 10 on the synthetic surface at Golden Gate Fields. She finished powerfully and I think she has the edge on pure talent in this field.

Jeff Ruby Steaks (6 p.m. ET): As usual, this looks like a wide-open race with synthetic specialists, turf horses trying the synthetic in hopes of earning a spot in the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve, and dirt horses giving the all-weather a shot. I wouldn’t wager a significant streak on this race, but I do like Archaggelos (#3). I’ve been waiting for the 2017 Grey Stakes winner’s return for talented trainer Michael Dickinson, and I’m hoping to get a decent price.

Azeri Stakes (6:32 p.m. ET): This race came up strong with Terra Promessa (#3), who is 5-for-9 at Oaklawn Park and 6-for-10 at this distance. Streamline (#6) beat Terra Promessa on this track and surface on Feb. 17, but it came on a sloppy track. The race also drew the top-three finishers from the Houston Ladies Classic, but I’m going with Blue Prize (#7). She turned in a tour de force 8 1/2-length runaway on Nov. 23 in the Grade 2 Falls City Handicap at Churchill Downs. She’s never been out of the top three in 10 career races, and I think she’s the one to beat.

Santa Margarita Stakes (7 p.m. ET): After a cough knocked out champion Unique Bella, this race became a lot more interesting for betting purposes, but less practical for Stay Lucky purposes. The only runner in the race with a win at this distance is Fault (#10), and that came on the grass. Pass.

Rebel Stakes (7:09 p.m. ET): One of my favorite prep races every year, the Rebel again drew a strong field led by California invader Solomini (#3) from the barn of Hall of Famer Bob Baffert, who has won this race six times since 2010. There are six horses in here with a legitimate win chance, but I’d be stunned if Solomini didn’t finish in the top three and I think for Stay Lucky purposes, he’s the safest play.

Sunday, March 18

Santa Ana Stakes (6 p.m. ET): Fault (#2) won the Grade 2 Buena Vista Stakes in her first try on the Santa Anita Park turf course. It was a nice return from a short layoff and showed she could handle the step up to facing open competition at four after racing exclusively against 3-year-olds in 2017. She’s cross-entered in the Grade 1 Santa Margarita Stakes on Saturday, but if she opts for this race I think she’ll be tough to beat.

Mike’s Top 2 Stay Lucky Plays

(Four winners from 15 top plays in 2018)

1. Blue Prize (Azeri Stakes)

2. Consolida (DRF Bets Bourbonette Oaks)

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