Stay Lucky Guide: Big Weekend at Belmont


Welcome to the 2018 Stay Lucky season! You will notice new prizes and smoother performance for the new season, along with presenting sponsor Equestricon!

If you’re reading this, chances are you’ve downloaded the app and are ready to start picking winners. If you have not yet downloaded Stay Lucky, what are you waiting for?

Get the iOS version of the app here.

The Android version of the app on Google Play can be downloaded here.

Stay Lucky offers participants the opportunity to win great prizes by stringing together winners in Thoroughbred races. Unbroken streaks of five, seven, nine, 14, 17 and 20 reward the players with a prize or choice of prizes. Terms and conditions apply.

The object is simple: pick winners from North American graded stakes races that draw at least six entrants. Races will be scored in real time but streaks will be updated only once daily to make sure they are scored in the correct order.

Pick as many races each weekend as you like, but be sure to play at least one race every weekend or your streak will be reset.

With the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve now behind us, the action shifts to Belmont Park this weekend for four graded stakes, including the Peter Pan Stakes, a local prep for the Belmont Stakes Presented by NYRA Bets.

Saturday, May 12

Vagrancy Handicap (2:34 p.m. ET): At first glance, this looks like a coin-flip race between stablemates Holiday Disguise (#6) and Sounds Delicious (#1), but I think Chalon (#3) needed her last race and could regain her top form, which would make her a strong contender. I lean toward Chalon here, but I don’t feel strongly enough to make her a top play.

Lazaro Barrera Stakes (5:30 p.m. ET): McKale (#3) should get a perfect stalking trip behind probable pacesetter Calexman (#2), and he’s been training incredibly well for Hall of Famer Bob Baffert. After Baffert won the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve with Justify last week, he just might be unveiling another future star this week for his stakes debut.

Hanshin Cup Handicap (5:41 p.m. ET): This race drew quite a few synthetic surface specialists in Crewman (#6) and Ghost Hunter (#1), the top two finishers, respectively, in last year’s edition of this race, as well as Wellabled (#5), who is 5-for-7 on synthetic surfaces. I also really like Master Merion’s (#9) chances switching from turf to synthetic for trainer Wesley Ward, who strikes at 41 percent with this surface change. This is a fun betting race, but I’d steer clear for Stay Lucky if I had a streak of any significance.

Beaugay Stakes (5:46 p.m. ET): I’ll bet Chad Brown’s European import making her U.S. debut, A Raving Beauty (#6), gets hammered at the betting windows and she has a big chance, but I prefer her stablemate Inflexibility (#2) coming off a win on April 22.

Peter Pan Stakes (6:18 p.m. ET): I think there are five horses of the nine entered with a realistic shot to win, but I’ll take a shot on lightly raced Just Whistle (#3) coming off a nice Keeneland allowance win.

Man o’ War Stakes (6:50 p.m. ET): To me, this looks like a wide-open turf race for older males but I do think the pace will set up much better for Sadler’s Joy (#2) than it did in his most recent race when he rallied late into a dawdling pace to finish fourth. Sadler’s Joy is the class of the field, but he is somewhat pace dependent.

Sunday, May 13

Marine Stakes (4:57 p.m. ET): I expect Machtree (#1) to be a fairly strong favorite coming off a synthetic debut in which he pulled away to win by 1 ¾ lengths but subsequently was disqualified and placed fifth for interference caused when he lugged in. Machtree could win fairly easily, but I look at the field and see a wide-open race with no standout as far as consistency or speed figures.

Mike’s Top Stay Lucky Play

(Twelve winners from 40 top plays in 2018)

1. McKale (Lazaro Barrera Stakes)

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