Dan’s Double: Strong Trainer Stats Boost Laurel Picks

Gambling
Penelope P. Miller/America's Best Racing

Dan’s Double of the week, featuring handicapping analysis from America's Best Racing's New York correspondent Dan Tordjman, is brought to you by Horseplayers.com, the official online qualifying site of the Breeders' Cup Betting Challenge (BCBC) and National Horseplayers Championship (NHC). Horseplayers.com offers low-cost feeders every day and BCBC and NHC qualifiers every weekend, and it’s the only site where you can qualify for the $1 million BCBC. It’s free to sign up – click here to get information about registering and how to enter contests.

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Each Week, Tordjman will provide readers with his two best bets of the weekend and strategies for how to bet them. Tordjman will keep track of his return on investment (ROI) throughout the year and, as a bonus, he will also provide picks for a selection of the key races on the Triple Crown trail and the road to the Breeders’ Cup. Dan was able to manage a positive ROI for his plays in 2016 but was in the red for 2017. How will he do in 2018? To find out and to play along, come back every week and be sure to follow Tordjman on Twitter.


Saturday, Nov. 17, Laurel Park, Race 1, 12:30 p.m. ET

#1 Nightlife: There’s a lot to like going into start number four for this daughter of Into Mischief. She’s shown early speed in each of her first three starts and she should be able to use it to her advantage from the rail while stretching out to a mile for the first time on Saturday. She also adds blinkers for the first time. That’s been a positive angle for trainer Ed Coletti. The trainer also boasts some very strong numbers with his 2-year-old horses over the past few years. Using search tools on STATS Race Lens, 24 percent of Coletti’s 2-year-old dirt starters have won, while 51 percent have hit the board (using the last 37 races as a sample). There are also several next-out winners and horses who have come back to run well in Nightlife’s company lines.

$10 Budget

$2 win, place and show on #1 Nightlife ($6)

$1 exacta 1,7 with 1,5,7 ($4)

$25 Budget

$4 win, place and show on #1 Nightlife ($12)

$1 exacta box 1,5,7 ($6)

$1 trifecta box 1,5,7 ($6)

$50 Budget

$8 win, place and show on #1 Nightlife ($24)

$2 trifecta box 1,5,7 ($12)

$1 exacta box 1,5,7 ($6)

$1 exacta 1 with ALL ($7)

Saturday, Nov. 17, Laurel Park, Race 7, 3:24 p.m. ET

#8 Menacing: If you follow racing in Maryland, you know that no-one has been hotter over the past few months than Lacey Gaudet. In fact, she has a posted 48 percent win-rate in the last 30 days with a $4.38 ROI (return on investment) in that span. With Menacing, Gaudet claims a horse who looks like he’s already gotten better in recent months, as the trainer moves him into allowance company here. The last horse she made that kind of move with was Sheikh of Sheikhs – and he’s proceeded to win two allowance races since. Gaudet has also previously successfully claimed John Jones and turned him into a multiple stakes winner. Not saying Menacing is necessarily bound for stardom but he fits with these and should be better for his first start with this red-hot barn. Another interesting note is that jockey Johan Rosado has won with 24 percent of starters for Gaudet, while finishing in the money with 51 percent of them. Note that Gaudet also sends out #3 Takedown, who’ll go off at a substantially lower price and who also looks really live in this spot.

$10 Budget

$2 win, place and show on #8 ($6)

$2 exacta box 3,8 ($4)

$25 Budget

$4 win, place and show on #8 ($12)

$3 exacta box 3,8 ($6)

$1 exacta box 3,5,8 ($6)

$50 Budget

$8 win, place and show on #8 ($24)

$6 exacta box 3,8 ($12)

$1 exacta box 3,5,8 ($6)

$1 trifecta box 3,5,8 ($6)

YTD BANKROLL: -$1,507.15

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