Dan's Double: Seeking Hot Start to 2018 at Gulfstream

Gambling
Fans cheer home a winner at Gulfstream Park. (Penelope P. Miller/America's Best Racing)

Dan’s Double of the week, featuring handicapping analysis from America's Best Racing's New York correspondent Dan Tordjman, is brought to you by Horseplayers.com, the official online qualifying site of the Breeders' Cup Betting Challenge (BCBC) and National Horseplayers Championship (NHC). Horseplayers.com offers low-cost feeders every day and BCBC and NHC qualifiers every weekend, and it’s the only site where you can qualify for the $1 million BCBC. It’s free to sign up – click here to get information about registering and how to enter contests.

When it comes to making money when handicapping races and betting on horse racing, it’s all about picking winners. Tordjman – DanonymousMan to those who follow him on Twitter – is one of the brightest young minds in the game.

Each Week, Tordjman will provide readers with his two best bets of the weekend and strategies for how to bet them. Tordjman will keep track of his return on investment (ROI) throughout the year and, as a bonus, he will also provide picks for a selection of the key races on the Triple Crown trail and the road to the Breeders’ Cup. Dan was able to manage a positive ROI for his plays in 2016. Come back every week and be sure to follow Tordjman on Twitter.


Saturday, Jan. 6

Gulfstream Park, Race 4, 1:35 p.m. ET

#9 Beyond Smart: In this lower-level claiming race, I’ve got my eyes on an old pro who has faced tougher and should be suited to run this distance at this level. Beyond Smart also ships in from Woodbine, where horses coming down and running in the sunshine at Gulfstream have done extremely well during this meet thus far. In this horse’s last two races at the distance (both starter allowances), he was right there in deep stretch but seemed to lose focus late. There should be the right sort of pace setup for him to sit just off what looks to be fairly soft competition here. Beyond Smart will also benefit from carrying a little less weight, with an apprentice rider aboard who has held his own at Gulfstream.

Strategy on a $10 Budget

$2 win, place, show on #9 Beyond Smart ($6)

$1 exacta: 9,11 over 5,9,11 ($4)

Strategy on a $25 Budget

$4 win, place, show on #9 Beyond Smart ($12)

$1 exacta box: 5,6,9,11 ($12)

Strategy on a $50 Budget

$10 win, place and $6 to show on #9 Beyond Smart ($26)

$1 exacta box: 5,6,9,11 ($12)

$1 trifecta key: 9 over 5,6,10,11 ($12)

Gulfstream Park, Race 6, 2:35 p.m. ET

#7 Sargeant Drive: Whenever Shug McGaughey moves a horse dirt-to-turf, it’s worth taking a closer look. Sargeant Drive hasn’t shown much, to date, but he’s out of a multiple graded stakes winner (who won at Keeneland over an all-weather, synthetic surface — she also finished second in the Ballston Spa on the turf) and he’s a full brother to Path, who won her second career start on the turf at Belmont. The horse is also getting Lasix (furosemide) for the first time, which can result in marked improvement for a horse who hasn’t run on it yet, plus blinkers for the first time. Add to the mix that Tyler Gaffalione is riding. Gaffalione is not only the leading rider on the turf right now at Gulfstream, he’s also won at a solid 25% clip when aboard for McGaughey.

Strategy on a $10 Budget

$2 win, place, show on #7 Sargeant Drive ($6)

$1 exacta: 7,9 over 7,9,11 ($4)

Strategy on a $25 Budget

$4 win, place, show on #7 Sargeant Drive ($12)

$1 exacta box: 5,7,9,11 ($12)

Strategy on a $50 Budget

$8 win, place, show on #7 Sargeant Drive ($24)

$1 exacta box: 5,7,9,11 ($12)

$.50 trifecta: 7,9 over 7,9,11 over 3,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12 ($14)

2018 ROI: $0

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