Vág will identify her top picks as well as at least one longshot play of the weekend, a nice opportunity to swing for the fences on a win bet or to take a shot with a show bet. She also will occasionally look for strong exacta plays for the weekend or try to spot a nice opportunity for other wagers.
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This Weekend’s Bets
Saturday, Oct. 13
Woodbine, Race 6, 3:57 p.m. ET
#3 Polar Light: A lot of these runners have struggled to make it to the winner’s circle and sometimes just backing a horse who has been winning and putting forth good efforts recently is more valuable than runners in a slump taking drops in class. Although he’s never raced over the all-weather surface before, coming off some solid turf efforts there’s no reason to believe that that he won’t take well to it especially if he uses his speed and inside post advantageously and attempts to wire the field.
#10 Sweet Little Man: I think his stalking style and already being situated at Woodbine and running all of his career races here could potentially give him an edge as sometimes longer distances in shipping and trying a new track or surface could affect some runners. His recent two efforts in the graded stakes ranks showed us that he belongs, and I think at a huge price he’s certainly capable of getting up in time to hit the board.
#2 Thundering Blue: He has shown a really powerful turn of foot and kick in deep stretch which is great over a track like Woodbine which historically has been pretty kind to closers. He’s looked good during workouts over the week on Woodbine and although he’s never raced in North America before, his American pedigree may come in handy. He certainly looks like the one to beat.
#8 Elysea’s World: I think it does help that one of her best efforts was a runner-up finish in the Grade 2 Canadian Stakes last year at Woodbine. It definitely looked like the track played favorably to her closing kick. Speed-wise, she’s quick and will hope for some faster fractions up front to run down the front-runners late. Although there is a slight jump in class, entering the race off two straight victories might instill some confidence.
Sports Pick of the Weekend
Sunday, Oct. 14
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Dallas Cowboys
PICK: Jacksonville Jaguars -3 (-110): The Jaguars defense has been stellar holding opponents to 20 or less points in four of their five games. The Cowboys offense, although they have showed flashes of potential, has had games where they were totally anemic and unable to move the sticks. Offensively they just don’t have the weapons and it’s really hindered their chances in close games. Although the Jags offense hasn’t been very impressive, their defense should prove to be the “X-factor.”