Welcome to Stay Lucky! If you’re reading this, chances are you’ve downloaded the app and are ready to start picking winners. If you have not yet downloaded Stay Lucky, what are you waiting for?
Stay Lucky offers participants the opportunity to win great prizes by stringing together winners in Thoroughbred races. Unbroken streaks of five, seven, nine, 14, 17 and 20 reward the players with a prize or choice of prizes. Terms and conditions apply.
The object is simple: pick winners from North American graded stakes races that draw at least six entrants. Races will be scored in real time but streaks will be updated only once daily to make sure they are scored in the correct order.
Pick as many races each weekend as you like, but be sure to play at least one race every weekend or your streak will be reset.
Here we are! The final weekend of the Stay Lucky season. If you’ve been with us for the year or came on board late, thanks so much for playing. Hopefully, you enjoyed the concept of putting the best, most competitive races forward to play with some very achievable prize levels.
We’ll be back in 2018, hopefully in January, with more great prizes and races. Please take the time to rate and review the app on Google Play and the Apple Store if you haven’t already, and without further ado let’s get started analyzing the races for Breeders’ Cup World Championships weekend. All of the Breeders’ Cup races will be televised on NBCSN, except the Breeders’ Cup Classic, which will be on NBC at about 8:35 p.m. Saturday.
Friday, Nov. 3
Tempted Stakes (2:02 p.m. ET): I think this might be an opportunity to sneak in a winner before the action really heats up. Tony Dutrow is one of my favorite trainers and I think his filly Navajo (#6) will take care of business here at the same track and distance of her 3 ¼-length maiden win on Oct. 1.
Marathon Stakes Presented by TAA (4:45 p.m. ET): If you want to take a shot at the first Stay Lucky race on the Breeders’ Cup Friday card at Del Mar, you might be interested in rolling the dice with 5-2 favorite Hard Aces (#7). He’s a gutsy, old veteran who can run all day and he ran second in this race a year ago.
Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (5:25 p.m. ET): Rushing Fall (#11) looked phenomenal in winning the Grade 3 JPMorgan Chase Jessamine Stakes on Oct. 11 at Keeneland for trainer Chad Brown, who won this race a year ago with New Money Honey. Rushing Fall will need to earn it here, though, as European invaders Happily (#2), September (#10), and Juliet Capulet (#13) look really strong and I think Capla Temptress (#7) is a serious filly. Too much talent to be a Stay Lucky race for me.
Las Vegas Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (6:05 p.m. ET): I expect a lot of buzz to center on Mor Spirit (#6) as he’s won his last three by a combined margin of 14 ½ lengths, but he hasn’t raced since June. Trainer Bob Baffert is a master at bringing horses into big races on just a series of workouts, but I think the pace will be hot and Practical Joke (#10) closes for the top prize here. His Eclipse Award-winning trainer, the aforementioned Brown, is no slouch, either.
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (6:50 p.m. ET): If you have a strong feeling here, feel free to have a go at the Juvenile Turf. It’s a great race, but with eight horses between 9-2 and 8-1 on the morning line it’s too wide-open for Stay Lucky purposes. Don’t dismiss 30-1 longshot Rajasinghe (#14), a European invader who might really like the firm turf at Del Mar.
Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff (7:35 p.m. ET): This is the Friday race where I expect many Stay Lucky players will have their strongest opinions. I love Stellar Wind (#2), who is 3-for-3 at Del Mar and a true fighter, but she is winless in three races at this distance. Elate (#5) looked so impressive in back-to-back Grade 1 wins, the second against older females, and reportedly has caught the eye of virtually every clocker during morning workouts. She’s a Grade 1 winner and 1 ¼ miles and at this 1 1/8-mile distance, so Elate looks like the play here.
Senator Ken Maddy Stakes (8:17 p.m. ET): A five-furlong turf sprint with six horses between 7-2 and 8-1? No, thanks. I’ll take my chances on Breeders’ Cup Saturday.
Saturday, Nov. 4
Goldikova Stakes (1:10 p.m. ET): I really respect On Leave (#1), who is 3-for-4 at this distance for Hall of Fame trainer Shug McGaughey, but I’ve got a hunch that European invader Aljazzi (#11) isn’t making the trip for a race on the Breeders’ Cup undercard for a participation trophy. She’s my early winner here.
Long Island Handicap (1:16 p.m. ET): Arles (#2) has run second in three straight graded stakes for trainer Graham Motion. With most of the top East Coast-based turf females out in San Diego for the Breeders’ Cup, she gets the job done here.
14 Hands Winery Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (3 p.m. ET): Heavenly Love (#1) is the tepid selection here. She’s my favorite among six or seven who probably have a legitimate shot at winning. I also expect her stablemate Wonder Gadot (#11) to run a nice race, but this is a really evenly matched group.
Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint (3:37 p.m. ET): It feels like everyone is just giving this race to Lady Aurelia (#3), and she’s a terrific racehorse, but the filly who beat her in England in a Group 1 race in her most recent start, Marsha (#6), is coming over for a rematch and Disco Partner (#1) has run a couple of monster races in sprints this year. Disco Partner set a world record in the Grade 3 Jaipur Invitational Stakes when he completed three-quarters of a mile in 1:05.67. I’m leaning toward Lady Aurelia, but I don’t view this as a layup.
Maple Leaf Stakes (4:53 p.m. ET): I can’t strongly back any of the runners here in what looks like a pretty evenly matched bunch, but if I had to pick one I’d take Gamble’s Ghost (#3) coming off back-to-back wins and with six wins and two seconds in nine starts on the synthetic main track at Woodbine.
Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf (5 p.m. ET): The temptation for many will be to push all in on Lady Eli (#9) here. I’m a huge fan, but this field is really deep. Consider the French Oaks winner, Senga (#2), is 20-1 here and the Grade 1 Flower Bowl Stakes winner, War Flag (#1), is 12-1. Lady Eli is the most likely winner, but believe me she will be challenged.
TwinSpires Breeders’ Cup Sprint (5:37 p.m. ET): Go ahead and play Drefong (#2) here if you must. He’s the defending winner for a Hall of Fame trainer coming off an eye-catching win. Repeating in the Sprint is extremely tough, and I’m going to try and beat Drefong with Imperial Hint (#10) and Roy H (#8), so I’m passing on the race for Stay Lucky.
Breeders’ Cup Mile (6:19 p.m. ET): This is almost always my favorite race of the day and this year’s group did not disappoint. Along with top U.S.-based miler World Approval (#5), the race drew Ribchester (#10) and Roly Poly (#12), both three-time Group 1 winners in Europe this year, as well as Suedois (#8), who won the Grade 1 Shadwell Turf Mile in his U.S. debut in October. Give Ribchester the slight edge, but this race is a real toss-up.
Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (6:58 p.m. ET): I’ve been on the Bolt d’Oro (#11) bandwagon since his debut win. He’s faster than his opponents in here by a minimum of 13 points according to Equibase Speed Figures. He’s my best play of the weekend.
Chilukki Stakes (7:25 p.m. ET): This is another race I don’t feel super confident in for Stay Lucky, but I lead toward Money’soncharlotte (#3). She had won four straight before finishing second to top Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff contender Elate in the Grade 1 Beldame Stakes. The third-place finisher in that race, Eskenformoney, won a Grade 3 race in her next start.
Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf (7:37 p.m. ET): Really surprised Highland Reel (#3) is 5-1 on the morning line. He loves the firm ground he’ll very likely get at Del Mar and I like his chances for a repeat victory.
Breeders’ Cup Classic (8:35 p.m. ET): I’d hoped to hear a little more buzz this week about my Classic pick, Collected (#11), but most of the hype surrounds defending Classic winner Arrogate (#1), improving 3-year-old West Coast (#8), and morning-line favorite Gun Runner (#5), who comes in riding a three-race, Grade 1-winning streak. I’ll just say this for Collected: he’s 7-for-7 on a dry (fast) main track. He’s probably a toss if it rains, but as long as the track is dry, Collected is my guy.
Top 10 Stay Lucky Plays - Final Weekend
(Top plays – 34 winners/79 picks)
1. Bolt d’Oro (Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Juvenile)
2. Unique Bella (Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint)
3. Navajo (Tempted Stakes)
4. Highland Reel (Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf)
5. Arles (Long Island Handicap)
6. Elate (Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff)
7. Collected (Breeders’ Cup Classic)
8. Lady Aurelia (Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint)
9. Practical Joke (Breeders’ Cup Las Vegas Dirt Mile)
10. Hard Aces (Marathon Stakes Presented by TAA)