Los Ponies Longshots: Saturday Storm, Sunday Return

Gambling
Penelope P. Miller/America's Best Racing

Welcome to Los Ponies Longshots! Each week, America’s Best Racing’s Southern California correspondent Jose Contreras – Los Ponies to those who follow him on Twitter – will provide two or three longshots at 8-to-1 odds or better on the morning line that he identifies as strong value bets. Contreras also will map out a betting strategy for how to play his selections and keep track of his return on investment (ROI).

Stop back each week if you love a longshot!

Saturday, Feb. 18

Santa Anita Park, Race 3, 4:30 p.m. ET

#5 Stormy Rocit (8-1): He went too fast early on last time and faded in the stretch while making his first start of the year. He’s worked three times since that race and is removing the blinkers he’s worn the past two races. I think his best chance will be to stalk the pace setters and hope they come back to him down the stretch.

Strategy on $10 Budget

$2 Win on Stormy Rocit ($2)

$2 Exacta: 5 with 4,7 ($4)

$1 Exacta: 3,4,7,8 with 5 ($4)

Strategy on $25 Budget

$5 Win on Stormy Rocit ($5)

$1 Trifecta: 4,5 with 4,5,7 with 1,3,4,5,6,7,8 ($20)

Strategy on $50 Budget

$4 Win on Stormy Rocit ($4)

$2 Exacta: 5 with 3,4,7 ($6)

$1 Trifecta: 5 with 3,4,6,7,8 with 3,4,6,7,8 ($20)

$1 Trifecta: 3,4,6,7,8 with 5 with 3,4,6,7,8 ($20)

Sunday, Feb. 19

Santa Anita Park, Race 10, 8 p.m. ET

#4 The Topester (Odds TBD): He was last seen making his debut a year ago when racing on the turf against tougher competition when finishing a non-threatening 10th in a field of 12. The long layoff, dull debut, and low profile rider is what is going to give us a good price on this guy. His trainer does well with horses of long breaks and he’s having a very good season this year.

Strategy on $10 Budget

$2 Win on The Topester ($2)

$1 Exacta: 4 with 3,7,8,10 ($4)

$1 Exacta: 3,7,8,10 with 4 ($4)

Strategy on $25 Budget

$5 Win on The Topester ($5)

$1 Trifecta: 4,7 with 4,7,8 with 2,3,4,7,8,9,10 ($20)

Strategy on $50 Budget  

$2 Win on The Topester ($2)

$1 Trifecta: 4 with 3,7,8,10 with 3,7,8,9,10 ($16)

$1 Trifecta: 3,7,8,9,10 with 4 with 3,7,8,10 ($16)

$1 Trifecta: 3,7,8,10 with 3,7,8,9,10 with 4 ($16)

ROI Year to date: $8392 wagered/$6191.81 returned

newsletter sign-up

Stay up-to-date with the best from America's Best Racing!