Dan's Double: Tampa Target, Pop on Top at Aqueduct

Gambling
Fans watch the races at Tampa Bay Downs. (Eclipse Sportswire)

When it comes to making money when handicapping races and betting on horse racing, it’s all about picking winners. Dan Tordjman, America’s Best Racing’s New York correspondent, is one of the brightest young minds in the game.

Each Week, Tordjman – DanonymousMan to those who follow him on Twitter – will provide readers with his two best bets of the weekend and strategies for how to bet them. Tordjman will keep track of his return on investment (ROI) throughout the year and, as a bonus, he will also provide picks for a selection of the key races on the Triple Crown trail and the road to the Breeders’ Cup. Dan was able to manage a positive ROI for his plays in 2016. Come back every week and be sure to follow Tordjman on Twitter.

Saturday, March 11

Tampa Bay Downs, Race 11, $350,000, Grade 2 Tampa Bay Derby, 5:27 p.m. ET

#6 Beasley (9-2): Well, I liked this horse when he was entered for the Xpressbet Fountain of Youth Stakes at Gulfstream Park. He was scratched from the race to run here instead, and I like him even more in this spot. Unlike the Fountain of Youth, which attracted the winner of the Lambholm South Holy Bull Stakes and several prominent fresh shooters like Practical Joke, the Tampa Bay Derby doesn’t feature McCraken, winner of the Sam F. Davis Stakes (the local prep for this race).

As I noted in this spot last week, #6 Beasley has improved in each of his first three career races. His Equibase Speed Figures have gradually climbed, topping out at 106 last out, which is the best in this field. I think that he’s got the tactical speed to go with the pace if it’s slow, or to sit off if it’s fast.

Strategy on $10 Budget

$5 win and place on #6 Beasley ($10)

Strategy on $25 Budget

$5 exacta box 5,6 ($10)

$1 exacta box 1,5,6 ($6)

$4 win and place on #6 Beasley ($8)

Strategy on $50 Budget

$1 trifecta 5,6 with 5,6 with ALL ($16)

$5 exacta box 5,6 ($10)

$1 exacta box 1,5,6 ($6)

$8 win and place on #6 Beasley ($16)

Sunday, March 12

Aqueduct, Race 4, 2:50 p.m. ET

#7 Pop the Hood (3-1): The pace in this race figures to be extra hot. Pop the Hood should be able to sit a really nice trip, drafting in behind the pacesetters. The horse just missed at this level in his most-recent start, and he has shown much-improved form since returning from a layoff in January. Pop the Hood has three very strong efforts, including two wins, from four starts on the Aqueduct inner track. Let's just hope we get a price close to the morning line.

Strategy on $10 Budget

$10 to win on #7 Pop the Hood ($10)

Strategy on $25 Budget

$25 to win on #7 Pop the Hood ($25)

Strategy on $50 Budget

$50 to win on #7 Pop the Hood ($50)

YTD Top Picks: 2/17

ROI for All Bets: -$340.35

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