Dan's Double: Saturday Stakes at Laurel Park

Gambling
Penelope P. Miller/America's Best Racing

Dan’s Double of the Week, featuring handicapping analysis from America's Best Racing's New York correspondent Dan Tordjman, is brought to you by Horseplayers.com, the official online qualifying site of the Breeders' Cup Betting Challenge (BCBC) and National Horseplayers Championship (NHC). Horseplayers.com offers low-cost feeders every day and BCBC and NHC qualifiers every weekend, and it’s the only site where you can qualify for the $1 million BCBC. It’s free to sign up – click here to get information about registering and how to enter contests.

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Saturday, November 11

Laurel Park, Race 5, $100,000 Smart Halo Stakes

#8 Pacific Gale: This filly makes for a rare starter at Laurel for trainer John Kimmel, who has only started four horses here in the past five years — he’s won with two of them, including Skipalute in last year’s Brookmeade Stakes. The horse also brings in veteran rider Chris DeCarlo, whose only mount on the day will be Pacific Gale.

As for the filly herself, she was clearly in over her head last out, going longer than she wanted to be going in the Grade 1 Alcibiades at Keeneland. Prior to that, she coasted on debut at this six-furlong distance, and also crushed in stakes company at Monmouth two races back. Sandwiched between those races was a spin in the Schuylerville at Saratoga, out of which came Breeders’ Cup starters Best Performance (second in the Juvenile Fillies Turf) and Stainless.

$10 Budget

$5 win and place on #8 Pacific Gale ($10)

$25 Budget

$5 win and place on #8 Pacific Gale ($10)

$1 exacta key box 8 over 1,3,4,6,10,11,13 ($14)

$50 Budget

$10 win and place on #8 Pacific Gale ($20)

$1 exacta key box 8 over 1,3,4,6,10,11,13 ($14)

$.50 trifecta box 1,3,8,11 ($12)

Laurel Park, Race 6, $100,000 City of Laurel Stakes 

#4 No Dozing: A blast from the past here as Derby hopeful No Dozing returns to Laurel, where he’s 2-for-2 thus far and looking to get back in the win column after a disappointing try on the turf a few weeks ago at Belmont. If you look at the company he’s kept all year long, there’s no question that he has a class edge over the rest of these. The one horse you might put right there with No Dozing is #2 El Areeb, who loves this track and picked up two graded stakes at Aqueduct this year. However, that one is coming off of a long layoff after getting hurt earlier this year, and trainer Cal Lynch doesn’t always have them cranked up to fire big off of a break like this. #1 Tale of Silence has been keeping good company, as well, but is 0-for-2 at the distance and has just one allowance win from his last nine starts. He’s a player but will take a shot against him in this spot.

$10 Budget  

$5 win and place on #4 No Dozing ($10)

$25 Budget  

$5 win on #4 No Dozing ($10)

$1 trifecta key 4 over 1,2,5,6,7 ($20)

$50 Budget 

$10 win and place on #4 No Dozing ($20)

$1 trifecta key 4 over 1,2,5,6,7 ($20)

$1 exacta key box 4 over 1,2,5,6,7 ($10)

2017 ROI: -$517

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