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Each Week, Tordjman will provide readers with his two best bets of the weekend and strategies for how to bet them. Tordjman will keep track of his return on investment (ROI) throughout the year and, as a bonus, he will also provide picks for a selection of the key races on the Triple Crown trail and the road to the Breeders’ Cup. Dan was able to manage a positive ROI for his plays in 2016. Come back every week and be sure to follow Tordjman on Twitter.
Saturday, Sept. 9
Belmont Park, Race 1, 1:30 p.m. ET
#6 Clairvoyant Lady: As the scene shifts from Saratoga to Belmont, keep an eye out for horses who’ve had previous success downstate but are perhaps coming off of subpar performances up at Saratoga. That’s the case here with Clairvoyant Lady. If you can look past her fourth-place finish a few weeks back at the Spa, she finished third against tougher company at Belmont on June 15. She also had a poor start in that race. If you go back a race further, she ran an even sharper second at Belmont to next-out winner Divine Miss Grey. Also consider it a positive that top jockey Javier Castellano takes the reins here.
Applying the same Belmont back-form approach, take a look at #3 Courtmewithcarats, who should be an even bigger price than Clairvoyant Lady. Her two Saratoga tries were extremely poor. While those could possibly be attributed to her being claimed out of a hot barn, she did win at this level by 6 1/2 lengths just three races ago — the same race in which Clairvoyant Lady finished third.
$4 win and place on #6 Clairvoyant Lady ($8)
$1 exacta box 3,6 ($2)
$5 win, place and show on #6 Clairvoyant Lady ($15)
$5 exacta box 3,6 ($10)
$8 win, place and show on #6 Clairvoyant Lady ($24)
$5 exacta box 3,6 ($10)
$1 trifecta box 2,3,6 ($6)
$5 double 3,6 with 8 ($10)
Belmont Park, Race 2, 2:01 p.m. ET
#8 Bourbon Currency: This feels like a sneaky looking horse trying the turf for the first time in his third career start. If you go back to his debut in late July, he ran up against Sporting Chance, who just won the Hopeful at Saratoga. You can also forgive his effort last out, in which he drew wide and stayed wide in another deep maiden field on the dirt. Switching to the turf here, he’s a son of Speightstown, whose 2-year-old turf starters have won at a 20 percent clip over the past five years (with 47 of 98 runners in the money). If you can get past the low percentage strike rate for trainer John Kimmel with these types, then you’ve got a very intriguing horse here.
$2 win, place and show on #8 Bourbon Currency ($6)
$1 exacta 8,9 with 8,9,10 ($4)
$4 win, place and show on #8 Bourbon Currency ($12)
$1 exacta box 8,9,10 ($6)
$.50 trifecta 8,9 with 8,9,10 with 4,5,8,9,10 ($6)
$8 win, place and show on #8 Bourbon Currency ($24)
$2 exacta box 8,9,10 ($12)
$1 trifecta 8,9 with 8,9,10 with 4,5,8,9,10 ($12)
2017 ROI: - $388.85