Best Bets of the Weekend: Icy Saturday Prediction for Saratoga

Horses race through the stretch at Saratoga Race Course this summer. (Eclipse Sportswire)

America’s Best Racing and handicapper (and avid gambler) Monique Vág team up to provide horseplayers with their best bets of the weekend in a regular feature blog that will run on Fridays.

For some posts, Vág will try to identify a longshot play of the weekend, a nice opportunity to swing for the fences on a win bet or to take a shot with a show bet. She also will look for strong exacta plays for the weekend or occasionally try to spot a nice opportunity for other wagers.

This Weekend’s Bets

Best Bet

Saturday, Race 5, Saratoga Race Course, Saranac Stakes, 2:45 p.m. ET

# 2 Camelot Kitten: This colt has been racing fantastic since the addition of blinkers four starts back. Examining his two graded stakes losses, it seems he was left with a little too much work to do passing horses and not enough distance left in the race. That most likely won’t be the issue Saturday, when he’s entered into a seven-horse field. Ideally, he will sit five or six lengths off the pace and make his move at the top of the stretch. He looms as the one to beat today.

Longshot Play

Saturday, Race 6, Saratoga Race Course, 3:20 p.m. ET

#1 Ice Cutter: He ran well enough in an allowance race two starts back on the turf to lead me to believe he’s capable today against a wide-open field. He’s well-bred on both the sire's and dam’s side, and this $370,000 purchase certainly didn’t come cheap. I like that he’s not in for a price tag today in this allowance/optional claiming race and I like his post-position draw. The rail has been a great place to be in turf routes. Although it took him quite a few starts to earn his first career win, he seems to be trending in the right direction. The price (10-1 on the morning line) will definitely be right to take a shot.

Best Bet

Saturday, Race 10, Saratoga Race Course, Woodward Stakes, 5:46 p.m. ET

#3 Frosted: It’s feels almost like cheating selecting Frosted as a best bet, but how can you not love a horse coming off back-to-back freakish performances? There’s not a horse in the world racing on this colt’s level right now. Last start, he showed he didn’t need a stalking trip to win, and that just adds to his depth. Frosted losing today would be right up there with one of the biggest horse racing upsets in years.

Best Bet

Sunday, Race 3, Saratoga Race Course, 1:36 p.m. ET

#6 Ectot: Another super-short-priced horse this weekend possibly worth singling in your exotic wagers. This horse ran well in his debut on North American soil against much tougher. He takes a drop in class today, and I expect him to be much sharper in his second start off almost a yearlong layoff from October 2015. This multiple group stakes winner in France will be making his second start on Lasix (furosemide). I anticipate he will sit back and watch the action unfold from off the pace. He’s clearly the class of the field and his price will certainly reflect that.

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