Betting the Breeders’ Futurity on a $20 Budget (también en Español)

Gambling

Fans pick a winner at Keeneland Race Course. (Photo by Penelope P. Miller/America's Best Racing)

Keeneland Race Course takes center stage with its Fall Stars opening weekend, and one of the main attractions on a Saturday card that includes three Grade 1 races is the 102nd running of the Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity.  

The $500,000, Grade 1 Breeders’ Futurity attracts some of the best 2-year-olds in the country to compete in one of the most prestigious races for 2-year-olds. The Breeders’ Futurity also is a Breeders’ Cup “Win and You’re In” Challenge Series race for the Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, so the winner of this race will be guaranteed a starting spot in the $2-million Juvenile on Oct. 31.

The Breeders’ Futurity drew a field of 12, and since all of the entrants are only two, most of the contenders are fairly inexperienced with only two or three career races under their belts. After studying the past performances and watching video replays of a few of these horses’ prior races, below are my main contenders in this year’s edition of the Breeders’ Futurity:

#1 Rated R Superstar: This colt has competed in three races in his career and has never finished worse than second, so he appears to own a nice combination of talent and consistency. His most recent effort, a second-place finish in the Grade 3 Iroquois Stakes at Churchill Downs, should make him competitive in the Breeders’ Futurity on Saturday.

#6 Sticksstatelydude: Similar to Rated R Superstar, this colt also has never finished worse than second so far in his career, including most recently a win in a maiden race at Saratoga Race Course. However, Sticksstatelydude has not competed in a race since Aug. 1, so I do question his fitness level moving into the Breeders’ Futurity.

#7 Exaggerator: This colt has won two consecutive races, one in California and one in New York, and now brings his game to Kentucky on Saturday afternoon. Exaggerator is the only horse in the Breeders’ Futurity field who has ever crossed the finish line first in a graded stakes race. He captured the Grade 2 Saratoga Special Stakes on Aug. 16.

EXAGGERATOR WINNING SARATOGA SPECIAL

Photo by Chelsea Durand/NYRA

#8 Sheikh of Sheikhs: Similar to Sticksstatelydude, this colt also most recently won a maiden race (a race restricted to horses who have never won a race in their careers) at Saratoga Race Course. Sheikh of Sheikhs showed a lot of early speed directly out of the starting gate in that win at Saratoga, and I think a similar racing strategy will suit him well in the Breeders’ Futurity.

#9 Wild Man: This colt is still a maiden, meaning he has never before won a race, so he is certainly a step behind some of the other horses in the Breeders’ Futurity field who have already won one or more races. That being said, Wild Man has finished third in his two career races, so he has not run poorly by any means, and he has one of the best trainers in the game in Steve Asmussen calling the shots.

Betting Strategies

Strategy A

$20 win on #8

Strategy B

$2 exacta: 8 with 1,6,7,9,12 ($10)

$2 exacta: 1,6,7,9,12 with 8 ($10)

$500,000 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity
Saturday, Keeneland Race Course, Race 8, 5:10 p.m. ET
1 1/16 miles, dirt, 2-year-olds

PP

Horse

Jockey

Trainer

Owners

Odds

1

Rated R Superstar

Calvin Borel

Ken McPeek

Radar Racing

6-1

2

Uncle Jerry

James Graham

Eoin Harty

Eoin G. Harty, Robert Auerbach and William Yarmuth

30-1

3

Hawkbill

Mike Smith

Charles Appleby

Godolphin Racing

8-1

4

Gametown

Julien Leparoux

Mark Casse

John C. Oxley

12-1

5

Brody's Cause

Corey Lanerie

Dale Romans

Albaugh Family Stable

6-1

6

Sticksstatelydude

Brian Hernandez Jr.

Greg Burchell

Estate of Alvin Haynes, John S. Ferris, Brad Ward and Beth Burchell

10-1

7

Exaggerator

Kent Desormeaux

Keith Desormeaux

Big Chief Racing

7-2

8

Sheikh of Sheikhs

Edgar Prado

Wesley Ward

Abdullah Saeed Almaddah

5-1

9

Wild Man

Ricardo Santana Jr.

Steve Asmussen

Curtis C. Green

15-1

10

Threefiveindia

Chris Landeros

Stephen Lyster

Black Duck Racing

30-1

11

Pinnacle Peak

Victor Espinoza

Mike Stidham

Mark D. Breen

15-1

12

Uncle Vinny

Luis Saez

Todd Pletcher

Starlight Racing

9-2

(también en Español)

Apostando en el Breeders’ Futurity con $20 de Inversión

Aficionados escogiendo un ganador en Keeneland Race Course. (Foto de Penélope P. Miller/America's Best Racing)

Keeneland Race Course captura el centro del escenario con sus Estrellas de Otoño abriendo el fin de semana, y una de las principales atracciones del programa del Sábado que incluye tres carreras de Grado 1 es la edición 102 delClaiborne Breeders’ Futurity.  

Dotado con bolsa de $500,000, el Grado 1 Breeders’ Futurity atrae a algunos de los mejores productos de dos años de la nación para competir en una de las más prestigiosas carreras de su división. El Breeders’ Futurity también es una carrera clasificatoria a la Breeders’ Cup del tipo “Win and You’re In” para la Carrera Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, de modo que el ganador de esta carrera tendrá garantizado un lugar en el punto de partida para la $2-millones de la Juvenile del 31 de Octubre.

El Breeders’ Futurity sorteó un lote de 12, y la mayoría de los competidores son bastante inexperimentados con solamente dos o tres carreras en su haber. Luego de estudiar las actuaciones pasadas y de observar las repeticiones de los videos de unas cuantas de estas carreras previas, les entrego abajo los principales rivales para la edición de este año de la Breeders’ Futurity:

#1 Rated R Superstar: Este potro ha competido en tres carreras en su campaña y nunca ha finalizado peor que segundo, de modo que él parece poseer una buena combinación de talento y consistencia. Su más reciente actuación, un segundo lugar en el Grade 3 Iroquois Stakes en Churchill Downs, debería hacerlo competitivo en el  Breeders’ Futurity del Sábado.

#6 Sticksstatelydude: De manera similar a Rated R Superstar, este potro tampoco nunca ha finalizado peor que segundo hasta ahora en su campaña, incluyendo su más reciente triunfo en una carrera para no ganadores enSaratoga Race Course. Sin embargo, Sticksstatelydude no ha competido en una carrera desde el 1ro de Agosto, así que tengo algunas dudas acerca de su buen nivel de estado físico camino a la Breeders’ Futurity.

#7 Exaggerator: Este potro ha ganado dos carreras consecutivas, una en California y una en New York, y ahora trae su estilo a Kentucky en la tarde del sábado. Exaggerator es el único ejemplar en el lote del Breeders’ Futurity que ha cruzado alguna vez la meta en una carrera de grado clásico. Ha gana do el Grade 2 Saratoga Special Stakes el 16 de Agosto.

EXAGGERATOR GANANDO EL SARATOGA SPECIAL

 

Foto de Chelsea Durand/NYRA 

#8 Sheikh of Sheikhs: Algo parecido a Sticksstatelydude, este potro ganó recientemente una carrera para perdedores (restringida a caballos que nunca hayan ganado en su campaña) en Saratoga Race Course. Sheikh of Sheikhs mostró una gran velocidad y pique inicial saliendo directamente del partidor en aquel triunfo de Saratoga, y creo que una similar estrategia de planteo le acomodaría en la Breeders’ Futurity.

#9 Wild Man: Este potro aún es un maiden, lo que quiere decir que nunca antes ganó una carrera, así que ciertamente está un paso atrás de algunos de los otros rivales en el grupo del Breeders’ Futurity quienes ya tienen ganadas una o más carreras. Habiendo dicho esto, Wild Man ha finalizado tercero en las dos carreras de su campaña, de modo que tampoco ha corrido mal que digamos, y tiene a uno de los mejores entrenadores del medio Steve Asmussen yendo por el triunfo.

Estrategia de Apuestas 

Estrategia A

$20 a ganador al #8

Estrategia B

$2 exacta: 8 con 1,6,7,9,12 ($10)

$2 exacta: 1,6,7,9,12 con 8 ($10)

$500,000 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity
Sábado, Keeneland Race Course, Carrera 8, 5:10 p.m. ET
1 1/16 de milla, arena, 2-años-de edad

Cajón

Caballo

Jinete

Entrenador

Propietarios

Dividendos

1

Rated R Superstar

Calvin Borel

Ken McPeek

Radar Racing

6-1

2

Uncle Jerry

James Graham

Eoin Harty

Eoin G. Harty, Robert Auerbach and William Yarmuth

30-1

3

Hawkbill

Mike Smith

Charles Appleby

Godolphin Racing

8-1

4

Gametown

Julien Leparoux

Mark Casse

John C. Oxley

12-1

5

Brody's Cause

Corey Lanerie

Dale Romans

Albaugh Family Stable

6-1

6

Sticksstatelydude

Brian Hernandez Jr.

Greg Burchell

Estate of Alvin Haynes, John S. Ferris, Brad Ward and Beth Burchell

10-1

7

Exaggerator

Kent Desormeaux

Keith Desormeaux

Big Chief Racing

7-2

8

Sheikh of Sheikhs

Edgar Prado

Wesley Ward

Abdullah Saeed Almaddah

5-1

9

Wild Man

Ricardo Santana Jr.

Steve Asmussen

Curtis C. Green

15-1

10

Threefiveindia

Chris Landeros

Stephen Lyster

Black Duck Racing

30-1

11

Pinnacle Peak

Victor Espinoza

Mike Stidham

Mark D. Breen

15-1

12

Uncle Vinny

Luis Saez

Todd Pletcher

Starlight Racing

9-2

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