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Blog - GAMBLING

Dewey Square Photo courtesy of David Stephenson/Siena Farms

The trail to reach the Kentucky Derby (G1) is an arduous one, and this year’s new qualifying system puts greater value on races closer to May, with no focus on graded stakes earnings. Still, the ten points on the line this Saturday in the Holy Bull Stakes (G3) do no justice to the high-quality field assembled for this $400,000 race, which includes last year’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) winner Shanghai Bobby.

Trakus recorded data from the last race of nine out of ten runners in the Holy Bull, and we offer some extra flavor on select contenders in this anticipated event.

Frac Daddy (Post Position No. 2) and Dewey Square (Post Position No. 6) finished second and third, respectively, behind Uncaptured in the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (G2), the finale to their 2012 season. Both were strong in defeat, with Frac Daddy covering 27 feet more than Uncaptured and Dale Romans-trainee Dewey Square going 41 feet farther – both amounts of extra ground were more than their margins of defeat. As to which horse was faster – the answer is Dewey Square, but barely. Over the course of the 1 1/16 miles, Dewey Square averaged 37.1 mph compared with 37.0 mph for Frac Daddy and 36.9 mph for the winner. Read more about the data from the Kentucky Jockey Club in our previous blog.

Sr. Quisqueyano (Post Position No. 5) ran on to be second after a blistering pace in the Gulfstream Park Derby when Itsmyluckyday (Post Position No. 7) galloped off impressively. While Sr. Quisqueyano may have been wide on the far turn, he covered as much ground as Itsmyluckyday, who averaged a half-mile per hour faster (38.5 mph v. 38.0 mph). Comparing average speeds from the Gulfstream Park Derby with the Kentucky Jockey Club is an impossible task, and one we don’t suggest as the former was run around one turn and the latter run around two turns. 

Tulira Castle (Post Position No. 8) and Fredericksburg (Post Position No. 9) both are emerging from a handy allowance test in early December at Gulfstream, having completed the exacta in that order. Fredericksburg covered about three-quarters of a length more than Tulira Castle in running, and both ran slower, based on average sectional speeds recorded by Trakus, than the Gulfstream Park Derby. 

As for the reigning Eclipse Award champion, Shanghai Bobby put forth some incredible data in winning the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. We detailed the specifics in this post-Breeders’ Cup blog, but basically, Shanghai Bobby idled on the lead when he got there. He averaged 34.3 mph from the five-sixteenths pole to the quarter-pole, and slowed to average 32.5 mph and 31.5 mph in the segments that progressed to the three-sixteenths pole and the eighth-pole. He re-broke for Rosie Napravnik, and hung on for a narrow win. How he progresses in his first start at three will be a fascinating subject out of the race.

SHANGHAI BOBBY BATTLING BACK TO WIN JUVENILE

JuvBattleNear

Photo courtesy of Eclipse Sportswire

Any way you look at it, an exciting renewal of the Holy Bull looms. Good luck!

$400,000 Holy Bull Stakes  (G3)

Race 10, Saturday, 5:05 p.m. EST

3YOs, 1 1/16 miles

PP

Horse

Jockey

Trainer

1

Shanghai Bobby (KY)

R. Napravnik

T A Pletcher

2

Frac Daddy (KY)

D. Cohen

K G McPeek

3

Clearly Now (KY)

L. Saez

B A Lynch

4

Bern Identity (KY)

P. Lopez

K J Breen

5

Sr. Quisqueyano (FL)

J. Rosario

L Olivares

6

Dewey Square (KY)

C.J. Lanerie

D L Romans

7

Itsmyluckyday (KY)

E. Trujillo

E Plesa Jr.

8

Tulira Castle (KY)

J. Castellano

J P DiVito

9

Fredricksburg (KY)

J.R. Velazquez

M R Matz

10

Joshua's Comprise (FL)

K.J. Desormeaux

B R Rose

 

Image Description

Pat Cummings

Pat Cummings is the Director of Racing Information for Trakus. Based in Boston, Mass., Trakus provides full-field in-race tracking, instantaneous motion graphics, and real-time information to racetrack operators worldwide. Trakus is currently installed at racetracks in the USA, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Hong Kong, and Singapore. Data analysis from Trakus appears on Twitter regularly @TrakusRacing.

Cummings also serves as the editor of DubaiRaceNight.com, a comprehensive website covering racing in Dubai and the United Arab Emirates. He has covered the Dubai World Cup on site each year since 2007 and provides selections for the entire season of racing in the United Arab Emirates and full-card analysis for all racing at Meydan. He also is the North American correspondent for Al Adiyat, a Dubai-based weekly racing publication.

Prior to joining Trakus, he worked for seven years in the financial services industry, and has served the racing industry in various capacities since 1999.  Pat was the backup announcer at Philadelphia Park (now Parx Racing) from 1999 to 2009, and also has called cards at Atlantic City Race Course, Louisiana Downs, Lone Star Park, Manor Downs, and Monmouth Park.

A member of the Turf Publicists of America, Pat earned his MBA from Baylor University in Texas and a BA from Dickinson College in Pennsylvania.

 

Image Description

Pat Cummings

Pat Cummings is the Director of Racing Information for Trakus. Based in Boston, Mass., Trakus provides full-field in-race tracking, instantaneous motion graphics, and real-time information to racetrack operators worldwide. Trakus is currently installed at racetracks in the USA, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Hong Kong, and Singapore. Data analysis from Trakus appears on Twitter regularly @TrakusRacing.

Cummings also serves as the editor of DubaiRaceNight.com, a comprehensive website covering racing in Dubai and the United Arab Emirates. He has covered the Dubai World Cup on site each year since 2007 and provides selections for the entire season of racing in the United Arab Emirates and full-card analysis for all racing at Meydan. He also is the North American correspondent for Al Adiyat, a Dubai-based weekly racing publication.

Prior to joining Trakus, he worked for seven years in the financial services industry, and has served the racing industry in various capacities since 1999.  Pat was the backup announcer at Philadelphia Park (now Parx Racing) from 1999 to 2009, and also has called cards at Atlantic City Race Course, Louisiana Downs, Lone Star Park, Manor Downs, and Monmouth Park.

A member of the Turf Publicists of America, Pat earned his MBA from Baylor University in Texas and a BA from Dickinson College in Pennsylvania.

 

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