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Blog - GAMBLING

Photos courtesy Benoit & Associates

No matter what is said about juvenile campaigns, the universal birthday for a new crop of Kentucky Derby hopefuls always gets me excited for the season to come.  Trakus covers 13 of the 26 races on the official “Road to the Kentucky Derby” 2013, and we will regularly offer data from those races en route to the first Saturday in May.

A small field of five met the starter at Santa Anita for the Sham Stakes (G3) last Saturday, which saw Doug O’Neill trainee Goldencents take the early 2013 points lead in the new system.  Second in the Champagne behind eventual Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) winner Shanghai Bobby and a winner of the Delta Downs Jackpot (G3), Goldencents might have been more impressive than the margins and times suggested from the Sham.

Sham Stakes (G3) - Jan 5, 2013 - 1 Mile - Santa Anita Park

 

HORSE

¼

1/2

3/4

1M

FINISH

Fin 1/8

Distance (ft)

Ft to Len

Actual Margin

TA Margin

Avg MPH

1st

Goldencents

23.41

23.12

23.95

-

26.17

13.47

5341

 

(1.5)

 

37.7

2nd

Den's Legacy

23.63

23.12

23.92

-

26.29

13.59

-33

-3.9

1.5

5.4

37.3

3rd

Manando

23.28

23.15

23.92

-

26.75

13.99

-14

-1.6

2

3.6

37.4

4th

Dry Summer

23.8

23.12

24.12

-

28.74

15.17

-6

-0.7

17

17.7

36.5

5th

Dirty Swagg

23.58

23.26

25.22

-

29.64

15.44

6

0.7

27.5

26.8

35.8

On the surface, there doesn’t appear to be a significant data story out of this compact field.  The size of the field typically reduces the opportunity to lose ground, but this five-horse phalanx was not immune given the dynamics established by jockey Martin Garcia.  After breaking to the lead, Manando cruised away in the two-path, with Goldencents forced to race outside of him around both turns.  Jockey Kevin Krigger had no interest in adjusting the smooth rhythm Goldencents engaged, and maintained that position throughout the race.  In so doing, Goldencents covered 33 feet more than rail-skimming Den’s Legacy, winning by a handy 1.5 lengths. 

Factoring in the extra ground he covered while at least two wide throughout the entire trip, Goldencents went almost four lengths more than Den’s Legacy (which makes his Trakus-adjusted margin 5.4 lengths – he was beaten by 1.5 lengths and 3.9 lengths are added to account for the ground-saving relative to the winner).

Mizdirection more consistent that visuals suggest

Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint winner Mizdirection pushed her career earnings over the $1 million plateau with a win in the Monrovia (G2) at Santa Anita on Sunday.  It looked grim when she didn’t seem to lengthen with as quick a kick as she experienced in the Breeders’ Cup, but her performance was almost exactly similar despite the fact she raced just off leader Kindle. 

Closing from off the pace in the Breeders’ Cup, Mizdirection recorded her final ¼ mile in 22.65 seconds, with a final furlong in 11.54 seconds.  On Sunday, the Mike Puype trainee came home in 22.74 and 11.63 seconds – just 0.09 seconds slower than her Breeders’ Cup performance at both splits.  Fourth place finisher Byrama matched those exact final splits in the Monrovia, but gave herself too far behind to make the difference.

MIZDIRECTION'S 2013 DEBUT WAS A THRILLER

Cummingsbloginside

Dubai Carnival Begins on Thursday

It wouldn’t be right to not mention that the 2013 Dubai World Cup Carnival opens on Thursday.  Meydan is equipped with Trakus, and viewers are expected to see a run order showing the top ten horses in order at the bottom of your screen when watching races from Dubai.  Behind each number are the silks of the horse at each position.  Having focused on each Carnival dating to 2007, I can tell you after much statistical analysis that the all-weather Tapeta plays incredibly fair and play true to pace.   

Race statistics from Trakus are available on the Dubai Racing Club website and archived over the course of the racing season. 

Dale Romans confirmed to the Daily Racing Form on Monday that Dullahan and Little Mike have been mentioned as potential Carnival participants in their final preparation for the Dubai World Cup meeting.

Image Description

Pat Cummings

Pat Cummings is the Director of Racing Information for Trakus. Based in Boston, Mass., Trakus provides full-field in-race tracking, instantaneous motion graphics, and real-time information to racetrack operators worldwide. Trakus is currently installed at racetracks in the USA, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Hong Kong, and Singapore. Data analysis from Trakus appears on Twitter regularly @TrakusRacing.

Cummings also serves as the editor of DubaiRaceNight.com, a comprehensive website covering racing in Dubai and the United Arab Emirates. He has covered the Dubai World Cup on site each year since 2007 and provides selections for the entire season of racing in the United Arab Emirates and full-card analysis for all racing at Meydan. He also is the North American correspondent for Al Adiyat, a Dubai-based weekly racing publication.

Prior to joining Trakus, he worked for seven years in the financial services industry, and has served the racing industry in various capacities since 1999.  Pat was the backup announcer at Philadelphia Park (now Parx Racing) from 1999 to 2009, and also has called cards at Atlantic City Race Course, Louisiana Downs, Lone Star Park, Manor Downs, and Monmouth Park.

A member of the Turf Publicists of America, Pat earned his MBA from Baylor University in Texas and a BA from Dickinson College in Pennsylvania.

 

Image Description

Pat Cummings

Pat Cummings is the Director of Racing Information for Trakus. Based in Boston, Mass., Trakus provides full-field in-race tracking, instantaneous motion graphics, and real-time information to racetrack operators worldwide. Trakus is currently installed at racetracks in the USA, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Hong Kong, and Singapore. Data analysis from Trakus appears on Twitter regularly @TrakusRacing.

Cummings also serves as the editor of DubaiRaceNight.com, a comprehensive website covering racing in Dubai and the United Arab Emirates. He has covered the Dubai World Cup on site each year since 2007 and provides selections for the entire season of racing in the United Arab Emirates and full-card analysis for all racing at Meydan. He also is the North American correspondent for Al Adiyat, a Dubai-based weekly racing publication.

Prior to joining Trakus, he worked for seven years in the financial services industry, and has served the racing industry in various capacities since 1999.  Pat was the backup announcer at Philadelphia Park (now Parx Racing) from 1999 to 2009, and also has called cards at Atlantic City Race Course, Louisiana Downs, Lone Star Park, Manor Downs, and Monmouth Park.

A member of the Turf Publicists of America, Pat earned his MBA from Baylor University in Texas and a BA from Dickinson College in Pennsylvania.

 

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