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Blog - RACING

Shanghai Bobby (inside) fought off He's Had Enough to win the Breeders' Cup Juvenile at Santa Anita Park. (Photo courtesy of Horsephotos.com)

There’s no doubt that in less than two months Shanghai Bobby will be named the champion 2-year-old male of 2012.

Among the spoils will be a rather nice trophy, a hefty stud fee for one day in the future, acclaim as the winter-book favorite for the 2013 Kentucky Derby (G1), and one sizeable bull’s-eye.

Considering that only one of the 28 past Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) victors has gone on to win the Kentucky Derby, it’s altogether logical that it would be fashionable to find someone other than the undefeated “Bobby” when the time comes to place a Future Wager on the Run for the Roses.

Beyond that, as courageous as the son of Harlan’s Holiday might have been in holding off He’s Had Enough by a desperate head, the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile was just a 1 1/16-mile race and the key ingredient in winning the Derby is finding a horse with enough stamina to hold up under the rigors of 1 ¼ miles.

For believers in the Juvenile jinx, in the three weeks that have passed since the Breeders’ Cup there have been a trio of 2-year-old stakes that have featured a promising collection of horses who might one day emerge as threats to the throne now occupied by Shanghai Bobby.

The most intriguing was the $250,000 Remsen Stakes (G2), which was contested on a windy afternoon this past Saturday at Aqueduct.

Overanalyze crossed the finish line first, displaying in lesser circumstances the same spunk Shanghai Bobby showed in notching his championship-clinching victory at Santa Anita Park. The Mike Repole-owned, Todd Pletcher-trained Overanalyze looked like a runner-up in the final furlong, but gallantly dug in and surged to a nose victory.

At 1 1/8 miles, the Remsen is a furlong shorter than the Derby and that extra 220 yards may prove to benefit the runner-up more than the winner. Normandy Invasion made just his third career start in the Remsen, racing 22 days after posting his first career win by 9 ¼ lengths. The son of Tapit made a strong, wide move on the turn and looked like a certain winner at the top of the stretch. But his inexperience showed in the final furlong as he could not get past Overanalyze.

OVERANALYZE (center) OUTFINIHSED NORMANDY INVASION (outside, red cap)

Remsen Hero 1-NYRA

Photo Courtesy of Adam Coglianese/NYRA

Trained by Chad Brown, one of the nation’s best young trainers, Normandy Invasion should benefit from the experience he gained in the Remsen and with continued development and maturity has the potential to emerge as one of the leading Derby candidates.

Later that day, the $150,000 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (G2) provided a 1 1/16-mile test for juvenile runners. The final time of 1:44.47 was not as quick as the Remsen’s 1:50.13, but the key factor in viewing this shorter race was that it took place at the same track where the Run for the Roses will be contested in May: Churchill Downs.

In case you’re wondering, 2010 Derby winner Super Saver was the last Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes winner to triumph in the Run for the Roses.

Uncaptured and Frac Daddy finished first and second, respectively, and were the top two betting choices in a highly predictable order of finish. But much like Remsen, the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes also featured a horse that didn’t make it to the winner’s circle but seems better suited to a longer, more grueling race such as the Derby.

Dewey Square was a fast-closing third, losing by 1 1/2 lengths in his stakes debut, and he appears to be the one to remember from the race when Future Wager begins.

A week earlier, a race with a purse twice the size of the combined worth of the Remsen and Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes, the $1 million Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes (G3), produced the kind of paychecks that would have assured the winner of a spot in the Derby under this year’s entry rules. But under the newly instituted points system, Goldencents received just 10 points for his win in the Jackpot and is second behind Shanghai Bobby (20 points).

GOLDENCENTS

GoldencentsHero

Coady Photography

Trained by Doug O’Neill, who captured two-thirds of the Triple Crown this year with I’ll Have Another, Goldencents previously was second to Shanghai Bobby in the Champagne Stakes (G1) and has the credentials to be a major factor on next year’s Road to the Triple Crown.

Behind him came Bern Identity, who rallied from last on the final turn to grab second, and Mylute, who was last in the early stages and hung in the final furlong after moving into second at the eighth pole. Both of them certainly have the potential to improve as the races get longer, but not necessarily richer.

Fourth in the Jackpot was Hightail, who was last seen winning the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Sprint and seems better suited for one-turn rather than two.

Before the year ends, the CashCall Futurity (G1) on Dec. 15 at Betfair Hollywood Park will offer one more test for a group of precocious juveniles. After that, it will soon be time to turn the calendar and begin the countdown. We’ll be five months away from the Kentucky Derby and the birth of the sport’s newest superstar.

Until then, the chase will go on with Shanghai Bobby on the lead and no shortage of challengers taking aim at that big, bright bull’s-eye.

ROAD TO THE 2013 KENTUCKY DERBY POINTS TABLE

Rank

Horse

Points

Owner(s)

Trainer

1

Shanghai Bobby

20

Starlight Racing, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael B. Tabor & Derrick Smith

Todd Pletcher

2

Goldencents

14

W.C. Racing, Dave Kenney & RAP Racing

Doug O'Neill

3

Joha

10

Wade Wacker

Mike Maker

4

Overanalyze

10

Repole Stable

Todd Pletcher

5

Uncaptured

10

John C. Oxley

Mark Casse

6

Power Broker

10

Gary & Mary West

Bob Baffert

7

Steeler-IRE

10

Sheikh Hamdan Bin Mohammed Al Maktoum

Mark Johnston

8

River Seven

10

Tucci Stables

Nick Gonzalez

9

Tesseron

5

Donver Stable

Josie Carroll

10

Bern Identity

4

George and Lori Hall

Kelly Breen

11

He's Had Enough

4

Reddam Racing LLC

Doug O'Neill

12

Capo Bastone

4

Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners

John Sadler

13

Know More

4

Reddam Racing LLC

Doug O'Neill

14

Dynamic Sky

4

John Oxley

Mark Casse

15

Artigiano

4

Godolphin

Mahmood Al Zarooni

16

Normandy Invasion

4

Fox Hill Farms Inc.

Chad Brown

17

Frac Daddy

4

Magic City Thoroughbred Partners

Ken McPeek

18

Fortify

3

Godolphin Racing, LLC

Kiaran McLaughlin

19

Mylute

2

GoldMark Farm, LLC

Tom Amoss

20

Java's War

2

Charles Fipke

Ken McPeek

21

Indiano Jones

2

John C. Oxley

Mark Casse

22

Al Waab-IRE

2

Mubarak Al Naemi

Sir Henry Cecil

23

Delhomme

2

WinStar Farm LLC and Twin Creeks Racing

Todd Pletcher

24

Dewey Square

2

Siena Farms, LLC

Dale Romans

25

Hightail

1

Bluegrass Hall LLC

D. Wayne Lukas

26

Pataky Kid

1

Swifty Farms Inc.

Tom Proctor

27

Carving

1

Baffert & Miller

Bob Baffert

28

Five Iron

1

Fred M. Allor

Bryan Lynch

29

Birdman-IRE

1

Anthony Hogarth

David Simcock

t-30

Archwarrior

1

Alto Racing, LLC

Todd Pletcher

t-30

Quinzieme Monarque

1

John M.B. O'Connor

Tom Albertrani

 

 

 

 

Image Description

Bob Ehalt

Bob Ehalt has been an avid fan of Thoroughbred racing since that day in June of 1971 when he and his father walked from their Queens Village, N.Y., home to Belmont Park to see Canonero II fall short in his bid for the Triple Crown. A veteran sports writer and correspondent for Thoroughbred Times magazine, Bob has covered horse racing for more than 20 years and has won three awards in the Associated Press Sports Editors national writing contest for his coverage of the sport.

Now working at the New Haven Register in Connecticut, Bob has also owned Thoroughbreds since 1995 and was a member of the syndicate that raced Tale of the Cat. He also writes a racing blog for ESPNNewYork.com and is the co-founder of the New York Hot List handicapping service, which is offered at InterBets.com.

His NTRA.com blog received first-place honors in the 2008-09 Breeders' Cup Media Awards, winning in the initial year of competition in the Social Media category.  You can follow him on Twitter at @BobEhalt

 

Image Description

Bob Ehalt

Bob Ehalt has been an avid fan of Thoroughbred racing since that day in June of 1971 when he and his father walked from their Queens Village, N.Y., home to Belmont Park to see Canonero II fall short in his bid for the Triple Crown. A veteran sports writer and correspondent for Thoroughbred Times magazine, Bob has covered horse racing for more than 20 years and has won three awards in the Associated Press Sports Editors national writing contest for his coverage of the sport.

Now working at the New Haven Register in Connecticut, Bob has also owned Thoroughbreds since 1995 and was a member of the syndicate that raced Tale of the Cat. He also writes a racing blog for ESPNNewYork.com and is the co-founder of the New York Hot List handicapping service, which is offered at InterBets.com.

His NTRA.com blog received first-place honors in the 2008-09 Breeders' Cup Media Awards, winning in the initial year of competition in the Social Media category.  You can follow him on Twitter at @BobEhalt

 

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