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Blog - GAMBLING

For the second consecutive year, it would appear that the girls trumped the boys, at least when comparing Woodbine juvenile turf stakes from last weekend – the Natalma and Summer Stakes.  Spring Venture, a filly trained by Mark Casse and ridden by Patrick Husbands, made it two-from-two in impressive fashion, winning the Natalma by almost two lengths.  I’m Boundtoscore managed to make all the running in the Summer, tallying a 10-1, ground-saving upset.  Simply observing the final official times (1:37.27 – Natalma, 1:37.75 – Summer) is one thing, but a more specific look at the closing sectional times widens the gap between the two races.

Some suggest juvenile fillies are a bit more mature than juvenile colts.  Maybe that could be one hypothesis for the second consecutive year of divergent race-ending performances between the Natalama and Summer.  This year’s Natalma was faster at every point of call over the rain-softened going, listed as yielding, while the 2011 version was the same over firm ground.  Below are the first four finishers in each race from the last two seasons, with their final quarters and eighths listed in seconds as tracked by Trakus.   

2011 Natalma Stakes

 

2012 Natalma Stakes

Finish

Horse

F 1/4

F 1/8

 

Finish

Horse

F 1/4

F 1/8

1st

Northern Passion

23.20

11.60

 

1st

Spring Venture

23.66

11.89

2nd

Dayatthespa

23.80

11.91

 

2nd

Spring in the Air

23.75

12.03

3rd

Stephanie's Kitten

23.63

11.89

 

3rd

Nancy O

23.80

11.89

4th

Spirited Miss

24.18

12.06

 

4th

Kitten's Dumplings

23.86

12.03

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011 Summer Stakes

 

2012 Summer Stakes

Finish

Horse

F 1/4

F 1/8

 

Finish

Horse

F 1/4

F 1/8

1st

Finale

24.38

12.55

 

1st

I'm Boundtoscore

24.73

12.75

2nd

Excaper

24.50

12.61

 

2nd

Are You Kidding Me

24.24

12.43

3rd

Daddy Nose Best

24.27

12.38

 

3rd

Indiano Jones

24.64

12.61

4th

Maritimer

25.10

12.98

 

4th

Best Play

24.84

12.81


Spring Venture went off as the Natalma favorite, just shy of 5-2, and deserved the support given the impressiveness of her career debut.  In that mid-August race, the daughter of Godolphin Mile winner Spring At Last broke from the extreme outside in a seven-furlong event and covered the most ground in a field of 12.  Specifically, she traversed 28 feet more than the second-place finisher Sure Would, who came back and ran 13th in the Natalma. Using the Trakus stats to adjust for added ground traveled, Spring Venture’s final official margin of 4.25 lengths seemed more like a 7.5-length tally.  Nancy O, fifth in Spring Venture’s maiden score covering 41 feet less than Spring Venture, came back to run a strong third in the Natalma, and match Spring Venture’s final eighth in 11.89 seconds. 

From top to bottom, but specifically as the sectional times above suggest, the Natalma was meaningfully faster than the Summer. The fastest closing fractions in the Summer were slower by 0.58 seconds for the fastest final quarter and 0.54 seconds in the final furlong.

Speaking Monday on “At the Races with Steve Byk,” Casse suggested the Mazarine Stakes on October 6 at 1 1/16 miles on Polytrack would be the likely next stop for Spring Venture. 

“[Her jockey] Patrick Husbands said she was the best 2-year-old he’s ever been on,” Casse said. 

Spring Venture could make for an interesting autumn.

Ricoh Woodbine Mile (Can-G1)

The versatile Wise Dan was never in danger, but second-choice Cityscape lost the most ground of any horse in the Ricoh Woodbine Mile, finishing third.  Under James Doyle, who guided Cityscape to victory in the Dubai Duty Free this March, the colt by Selkirk was beaten 4.25 lengths, but covered the equivalent of almost three lengths more than the winner. 

Riding the River, last at the quarter pole, rattled home on the grass, which was rated firm for the first time all weekend, getting the fastest final sectionals of the Grade 1 event.  While only home to finish fourth beaten just more than six lengths, Riding the River traversed the final quarter in 23.11 seconds, and a final furlong in 11.68 seconds, which were respectively faster than Wise Dan by 0.46 and 0.38 seconds.

Northern Dancer Stakes (Can-G1)

Wigmore Hall ran off for his second consecutive narrow victory in the Northern Dancer Turf Stakes, and sizzled home in doing so.  Traveling 28 feet wider than second-place finisher Al Khali and 29 feet more than third home Forte Dei Marmi, Wigmore Hall had the fastest final quarter in the race, home in 22.36 seconds. 

Canadian Stakes (Can-G2)

All Star Heart, second to Barefoot Lady in the Canadian Stakes, was fastest in the key closing factions, while both had significant ground-saving trips.  Ridden by Brice Blanc, the Ron McAnally trainee covered marginally more ground than Barefoot Lady, and was about a fifth of a second faster in the final furlong.  Kapitale, well-backed but fourth off a first-up run in the Beverly D. Stakes (G1) at Arlington Park, covered the most ground (25 feet more than the winner).

Ontario Derby (Can-G3)

Stealcase was roughly five-wide leaving the front-stretch and continued to cover more ground than any in this Polytrack renewal, finishing on top despite traveling 62 feet more than third-placer River Rush and 68 feet more than superfecta-filler Gung Ho. Second-place finisher Any Given Royal was planted wide throughout as well, and actually covered three feet more than Stealcase.

 

Image Description

Pat Cummings

Pat Cummings is the Director of Racing Information for Trakus. Based in Boston, Mass., Trakus provides full-field in-race tracking, instantaneous motion graphics, and real-time information to racetrack operators worldwide. Trakus is currently installed at racetracks in the USA, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Hong Kong, and Singapore. Data analysis from Trakus appears on Twitter regularly @TrakusRacing.

Cummings also serves as the editor of DubaiRaceNight.com, a comprehensive website covering racing in Dubai and the United Arab Emirates. He has covered the Dubai World Cup on site each year since 2007 and provides selections for the entire season of racing in the United Arab Emirates and full-card analysis for all racing at Meydan. He also is the North American correspondent for Al Adiyat, a Dubai-based weekly racing publication.

Prior to joining Trakus, he worked for seven years in the financial services industry, and has served the racing industry in various capacities since 1999.  Pat was the backup announcer at Philadelphia Park (now Parx Racing) from 1999 to 2009, and also has called cards at Atlantic City Race Course, Louisiana Downs, Lone Star Park, Manor Downs, and Monmouth Park.

A member of the Turf Publicists of America, Pat earned his MBA from Baylor University in Texas and a BA from Dickinson College in Pennsylvania.

 

Image Description

Pat Cummings

Pat Cummings is the Director of Racing Information for Trakus. Based in Boston, Mass., Trakus provides full-field in-race tracking, instantaneous motion graphics, and real-time information to racetrack operators worldwide. Trakus is currently installed at racetracks in the USA, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Hong Kong, and Singapore. Data analysis from Trakus appears on Twitter regularly @TrakusRacing.

Cummings also serves as the editor of DubaiRaceNight.com, a comprehensive website covering racing in Dubai and the United Arab Emirates. He has covered the Dubai World Cup on site each year since 2007 and provides selections for the entire season of racing in the United Arab Emirates and full-card analysis for all racing at Meydan. He also is the North American correspondent for Al Adiyat, a Dubai-based weekly racing publication.

Prior to joining Trakus, he worked for seven years in the financial services industry, and has served the racing industry in various capacities since 1999.  Pat was the backup announcer at Philadelphia Park (now Parx Racing) from 1999 to 2009, and also has called cards at Atlantic City Race Course, Louisiana Downs, Lone Star Park, Manor Downs, and Monmouth Park.

A member of the Turf Publicists of America, Pat earned his MBA from Baylor University in Texas and a BA from Dickinson College in Pennsylvania.

 

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